Well this is a fun conversation we’re about to embark on. Who do you give the keys to in 2011: Michael Vick or Kevin Kolb?
Seriously, a decision has to be made regarding who will quarterback Philadelphia next season and the decision will have to be made sooner rather than later.
As we all know, Vick is an unrestricted free agent who will command a pretty hefty contract from his future team. I don’t want to act like I know how much he will actually get and what the salary cap implications will be… because simply put, I don’t. In all reality, no one does yet. What we do know is that it will be for multiple years and worth a pretty penny.
As for Kolb, he is under contract for one more season, but it will only cost the eagles a shade over 1 million. That’s a bargain for a starting QB. Kolb has already said he wants to start or be traded, but in all reality, it doesn’t matter what Kolb wants.
If Andy Reid and Co. decide to sign Vick and keep Kolb for one more season, it is well within their rights. But if you had to make your decision now, who do you choose for Philly in 2011?
Let’s look at production. For arguments sake, I have to rule out last season and only go by 2010 stats. In addition, we’ll exclude the home opener when the game was started by Kolb, but finished by Vick. We exclude this game because the Packers never game planned for Vick… so it is a little unfair to include his gaudy numbers.
Twist: I’m not looking at the QB’s numbers. I want to look at how each QB affected the players around them.
Kevin Kolb as QB (4 games)
2010 TOTAL POINTS PER GAME: 23.5
Michael Vick as QB (11 games)
2010 TOTAL POINTS PER GAME: 31.5
First and foremost, I need to thank my boy GHeinz for putting together the numbers. He is a stats guy by nature so it gives this guy some proof in his pudding.
By looking at the results, you can see why Jackson favors Vick in terms of receiving yards per game, but he isn’t a factor in the run/reverse game. On the contrary, Maclin’s big play comes when Kolb is in the game. I’m sure he’ll make that sacrifice knowing that he is getting more looks in the endzone with Vick.
As for Celek, his numbers are eerily similar. For all the talk of how Celek became an unknown with Vick as QB, the numbers sure don’t prove that. His TD rate is down by .14, but his grabs and average yards are just about the same.
What about McCoy? Conventional wisdom says a QB who is a threat to run as well as pass, combined with the weapons on the outside would simply open up the run game, right? Apparently not. McCoy was averaging 7 more yards per game with Vick, but 25 less receiving yards!
Kolb found more ways to get McCoy the ball and it shows in his overall production… except for the fact that he found paydirt more with Vick. What weighs more heavily on a per game basis: Getting in the endzone or controlling the ball? Points will always reign supreme, but sure is nice to seal up a win by running out the clock.
Based on production of the players above, it’s hard to really decipher who is the better QB for this team next season. It seems as if not much would change regardless of who is calling the plays, right? Wrong.
With Kolb, the Eagles offense averaged, 23.5 ppg. With Vick? 31.5. That is because Vick gets in the endzone with his legs. In addition to his 21 TD passes, he took it to the house 9 times on his own. That is clearly and advantage over any mobility Kevin Kolb can conjure up.
So is it an easy decision to sign Vick and let go of Kolb? Hardly. There are many implications and factors to take into account when deciding who is going to man this team next year. Stats are one. Another is the team surrounding the QB… and that will certainly be affected based on which QB the Eagles decide to go with…
Vick vs Kolb Part II is on the way….