Oh, no sir, no sir! What a horrendous PPV for me. 5-7? Come on! I blame the horrible judging. It’s an easy out but I’m taking it. So now I’m 24-21. That’s unacceptable. I guess I could look at it like I’m still above .500, but that’s weaksauce. I’m glad I get a chance to improve those number quickly with this show coming so soon after UFC 127.
On to the card. For a free event this fight card is pretty stacked. Especially Bowels/Page and Sanchez/Kampmann. I expect both of those fights to be electric and closely contested. And don’t forget about those two free fights on Facebook. Those aren’t bad either, as long as the online stream doesn’t lag as much as it did last weekend.
For those of you who don’t know, the favorite will have a negative (-) number, while the underdog will have a positive (+) number. MMA money lines are based on units of $100. If the favorite is -225, it means that you have to wager $225 to win $100. But if you are betting on the underdog, the formula is different. If the underdog is at +185, it means that if you wager $100 you will win $185 for a total of $285. Easy enough, right? Good.
If you guys are going to bet, head over to Bodog.com. As always, I appreciate half of your earnings.
Light Heavyweight bout: Igor Pokrajac (-250) vs. Todd Brown (+190)
Is Brown really a 205 pounder? I think he either needs to put on more muscle or drop down to 185. If he could beat anybody, Pokrajac is the man to give him a win. Pokrajac just hasn’t been able to put it together. That being said, I just can’t give the nod to Brown.
My Pick: Pokrajac, Round 2, (T)KO
Middleweight bout: Rousimar Palhares (-175) vs. Dave Branch (+145)
Palhares looks beastly, but he’s short. He gives up a huge reach advantage to Branch. Branch isn’t a striking monster but he has decent enough hands to keep Palhares away.
My Pick: Branch, Round 3, Decision
Middleweight bout: Rob Kimmons (+185) vs. Dong Yi Yang (-225)
Yang looked pretty good in his debut loss to Chris Camozzi. I think he’ll be able to use his Judo and his power to get a solid win over Kimmons via ground and pound.
My Pick: Yang, Round 2, (T)KO
Bantamweight bout: Takeya Mizugaki (-215) vs. Reuben Duran (+175)
This is a huge fight for Duran. If he can muscle Mizugaki around and control him, he could pull this off. Mizugaki has been inconsistent since coming to the big stage and has had problems dealing with stronger fighters.
My Pick: Duran, Round 3, Decision
Lightweight bout: Thiago Tavares (EVEN) vs. Shane Roller (-130)
Tavares getting no love. He should be on at least the Facebook card. Oh well. He’ll just have to make another statement by submitting Roller.
My Pick: Tavares, Round 1, Submission
Light Heavyweight bout: Steve Cantwell (-140) vs. Cyrille Diabaté (+110)
I think Diabaté’s reach advantage will be too much for Cantwell to overcome. They are both pretty good strikers so it’s going to come down to Cantwell’s ability or inability to take Diabaté down.
My Pick: Diabaté, Round 3, Decision
Lightweight bout: Joe Stevenson (-135) vs. Danny Castillo (+105)
Stevenson is going to look for the takedown early and often. He’s much stronger and more experienced. Castillo is faster but I don’t think that’ll help him this time.
My Pick: Stevenson, Round 3, Decision
Bantamweight bout: Brian Bowles (-275) vs. Damacio Page (+215)
I really don’t see this fight going any different than the first. Bowles might not get a first round Guillotine Choke, but he’s stronger and has a better gas tank than Page. He’s just a better fighter all around. That coupled with Page’s susceptibility to the choke adds up for another win for Bowles. Probably by just that, a choke.
My Pick: Bowles, Round 2, Submission
Middleweight bout: Alessio Sakara (+190) vs. Chris Weidman (-250)
Weidman might be a nice prospect, but with only 4 pro fights under his belt, he’s at a huge disadvantage. Sakara might have a little bit of cage rust, but he’s a really good fighter with some nasty striking. Unless Weidman is able to take him down and keep him there, doubtful, he won’t beat “Legionarius.”
My Pick: Sakara, Round 2, Submission
Middleweight bout: C.B. Dollaway (+155) vs. Mark Muñoz (-190)
Both were Division I wrestlers, but Muñoz is better in the submission game. But that can be negated if Dollaway uses his 5in reach advantage to out-strike “The Filipino Wrecking Machine.” This is a tough call because I’m not 100% sure Dollaway has put it all together.
My Pick: Dollaway, Round 3, Decision
Welterweight bout: Diego Sanchez (+115) vs. Martin Kampmann (-145)
Another tough fight to call. Sanchez could easily take this fight to the ground and look for the ground and pound TKO victory. He probably won’t get a TKO, but I’m sure that’s his plan because Kampmann is a better striker. Kampmann did show he is able to be brought down in his loss to Jake Shields. Problem is, Kampmann is no slouch on the ground. If Kampmann keeps this standing, he wins. If he doesn’t, look for “The Dream” to eek out a judges nod. Yes, Sanchez’s new nickname is “The Dream.”
My Pick: Sanchez, Round 3, Decision
UFC on Versus 3: Sanchez vs. Kampmann Preview/Picks/Odds is a post originally from: SportsNickel.com - In Sports We Trust