A few days ago, the won-loss predictions of the Wages of Wins Network were reviewed. Today we want to review predictions for post season awards. Andres Alvarez – at Nerd Numbers the Blog – has collected these predictions. And his post reviewing these predictons is offered below.
Make sure to check out the actual picks here: Wages of Wins Network 2011 Stat Smackdown
In exciting news Arturo inadvertently left out Nene from his predictions. When he put Nene back in his projection of the Nuggets improved. I will try and update the range tables in the near future. However, today is about the Players and the awards they may win.
Most Valuable Player (Media)
- Players Picked: Kevin Durant, Kobe Bryant, Dwayne Wade
- General Consensus: Kevin Durant
A lot of people have this pegged to be Kevin Durant’s year. He was right on Lebron’s heels last year and the King’s off-season decision has not helped his popularity with the writers. Some fun dark horses are Brandon Roy (getting credit for Portland’s season if it plays out) and Kobe winning in a rivalry duel of East and West.
Most Valuable Player (Wins Produced)
- Players Picked: Lebron James, Kevin Durant, Dwight Howard
- General Consensus: Lebron James
The city of Cleveland and the writers may feel hurt by Lebron’s choice to take his talents to south beach. However, the Wages of Wins Network analysts are aware Lebron has been a top two player for this award the last two years. In fact we’re all pretty boring picking from the top three under 30 players from last year’s MVP list.
Rookie of the Year (Media)
- Players Picked: John Wall, Blake Griffin
- General Consensus: Blake Griffin
There wasn’t much ambiguity in this pick. It should also be noted that no analysts thinks the Clippers or Wizards will crack 30 wins. We’ll see if the main stream media can reconcile that, but it worked for Durant. With that said the question will be which 20 point scorer the writers go for. So far Blake Griffin is meeting expectations!
Rookie of the Year (Wins Produced)
- Players Picked: DeMarcus Cousins, Blake Griffin
- General Consensus: Blake Griffin
John Wall is pegged as one of the most explosive talents coming out of this year’s draft. As such it is no surprise that every single analyst chose to pick someone else! Blake Griffin pretty much sweeps this with a few analysts fearing injury and wisely picking the next best big man in DeMarcus Cousins.
Most Improved Player (Media)
- Players Picked: Roy Hibbert, Derrick Rose, Stephen Curry, Javale McGee, Michael Beasly, Robin Lopez, Kevin Love, D.J. Augustin
- General Consensus: ??
No clear consensus and yet I love many of these picks. Personally I’m rooting for Kevin Love, although that is almost a back handed compliment. I think Beasley is an excellent choice as well. The only really bad choice in my mind is my own with Derrick Rose. I could see the media going for any of these players; let’s hope the Wages of Wins Network gets this one right with the shot gun approach.
Most Improved Player (Wins Produced)
- Players Picked: James Hardan, Chris Kaman, Dujain Blair, Monta Ellis, Kevin Love, Javale McGee, Trevor Ariza, Andris Biedrins
- General Consensus: Kevin Love
A few analysts went the route of picking good players likely to increase their minutes (Blair, Love and Biedrins), others picked good players that had off seasons (Ariza, Ellis and Kaman). Others picked young players that should show a leap (McGee and Harden). Which strategy will win? We’ll find out in a few short months. If Monta keeps it up though, we may have to crown Evan winner of this one.
Sixth Man of the Year (Media)
- Players Picked: Antawn Jamison, Manu Ginobli, Jason Tery, Rodrigue Beaubois, Udonis Haslem, Marcus Thornton, Shaq
- General Consensus: Udonis Haslem or Manu Ginobli
We’ll have to wait and see on this one. Thus far many of these players have actually started. I think Haslem or Ginobli are both excellent picks and Haslem is one of the few players on Miami with a good reputation right now. Antawn Jamison and Shaq are excellent choices. We’ll have to see how the writers feel. I think all of the analysts will be sad if Crawford takes it again however.
Sixth Man of the Year (Wins Produced)
- Players Picked: Manu Ginobli, Lamar Odom, Samuel Dalembert, James Harden
- General Consensus: Lamar Odom
Ginobli and Odom (former winners) are heavy favorites for this one. James Harden shows up on this list as well, which may happen if he has a break out year. Samuel Dalembert could very well get this award if he ends up off the bench in Sacramento.
I think these awards are much harder to peg than team records, but we’ll have to see. I’m excited about the prospect of a lot of these picks and think our analysts showed some good creativity. Good luck!
As we are on the subject of recognition I did want to call out two commenters for their contributions. Sportfanatic is an amazing editor and has been amazingly polite in catching errors in posts, which in turn make this blog better. Peter has been an amazing trivia contestant and I apologize realizing I forgot to update him as the winner for two of the prior trivia challenges. This list is by no means exhaustive and I want to thank you readers for being so great with your feedback.