The region went all chalk Thursday with only Gonzaga springing an upset by seed. AccuScore however had the Zags as the favorite against St. John’s and they delivered. From here on the eight remaining teams are split into two clear tiers. Pittsburgh, Floirda, Wisconsin, and BYU each have between 1 19.4 percent to 15 percent chance of making it to the Final Four. Kansas State, UCLA, Butler, and Gonzaga each have between an 8.3 percent and 6.6 percent chance of escaping the region. The Zags have the toughest road having to potentially face the top three seeds in the region.
Championship rematch: Florida vs. UCLA
The Gators and Bruins have played twice in the Final Four with Florida prevailing in both 2006 and 2007 en route to back to back championships. UCLA will be looking for some measure of revenge after springing a minor upset in the first round according to our computers. The Bruins are winning 40 percent of simulations with the key match-up being Tyler Honeycutt vs. SEC player of the year Chandler Parsons. Both players are forecasted for nearly 12 points and 7 rebounds.
Mid-Major battle: Morehead State vs. Richmond
While the Spiders were a 12-seed, AccuScore correctly forecasted them as the favorite against Vanderbilt and they delivered with a win. They will once again be the favorites as they are winning 63 percent of simulations making them nearly 2-to-1 to reach the Sweet 16. Kenneth Faried though will once again be the best player on the floor, and is projected for another double-double with 14 points and 12 boards.