NFL Week 10 Expert Picks: Patriots, Browns, Jets and Steelers

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AccuScore analysts Zach Rosenfield and Jonathan Lee have been red hot over the past three weeks posting a record of 10-1 (91%) +890 units during the time period. Below are this week’s picks and examples on how our analysts use AccuScore data to come up with their weekly selections.

New York Jets at Cleveland Browns Over 37.5 Points
AccuScore is 3-0 in successfully picking whether a game will go over or under since Colt McCoy has taken over as the quarterback for the Cleveland Browns. Overall, AccuScore is 6-2 with totals with the Browns and has the same record in projecting over or under with the New York Jets. In the NFL, the data always gets stronger as the season goes by and these two teams are 12-4 (75%) this season in totals. Overall, AccuScore is 61.4% in totals this season and is 13-5 (72%) when in selections when the total number is 37.5 or lower.

New England +4.5 at Pittsburgh
A big key in this game will be the o-line for Pittsburgh.  While Ben Roethliesberger is one of the best in the game playing under pressure and making plays, the Steelers will test that skill severely this week.  Left tackle Max Starks is gone for the season meaning Flozell Adams will move to that spot where he was a turnstile last year in Dallas. Guard Chris Kemoeatu is also out and center Maurkice Pouncey has been banged up.  While the Patriots defense isn’t stellar, a weakened o-line should help them and equalize the match-up. The AccuScore sim line is -4, but the computer has a record of just 2-6 ATS meaning it has underrated New England.  The computer does have a solid record of 5-2 with Pittsburgh. If the Patriots can attack the Steelers o-line and get 2+ sacks, the average margin of victory for either team is less than 1.5 points. I think this game should be decided by a field goal.

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