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NFL Analysis: AFC Head Coaches About to Get Fired

Last week Dr. Roto examined what NFC coaches are likely to be fired by mid-January. This week he takes a look and the NFC coaches that may be on Death Row.


Chan Gailey: The Buffalo Bills started out hot this season but have folded down the stretch. Owner Ralph Wilson has been loyal to his former coaches, so I think he gives Chan one more year to see if he can right the ship. Chance of the Axe: 100-1

Tony Sparano: There is little doubt in my mind that Sparano will be let go by the Miami Dolphins this off-season, but to his credit the Dolphins have played well enough for him to be considered for other NFL jobs next year. The Dolphins are a high profile team and Owner Stephen Ross wants a high profile coach. Look for John Gruden or Bill Cowher to end up in South Beach. Chance of the Axe: 2-1

Bill Belichick: Pigs have a better chance of flying than Belichick does of being fired. Chance of the Axe: 1,000,000-1

Rex Ryan: Although Rex may actually enjoy getting the boot J, the Jets are satisfied with the job he is doing. Chance of the Axe: 500,000-1


John Harbaugh: Right now the Harbaugh name is like NFL coaching royalty. Both Jim and John can do no wrong. Chance of the Axe: 750,000-1

Marvin Lewis: Just when you think Lewis’ job is on the line he has the knack for coming up with a solid season. With all the young players emerging for the Bengals, and with Owner Mike Brown’s unwillingness to spend a buck, expect that Lewis will return next year. Chance of the Axe: 5,000-1

Pat Shurmur: Peyton Hillis’ injury and contract situation prevented the Browns from having the season they were expecting in 2011. Shurmur needs to be careful, though, because in the interest of self-preservation, GM Mike Holmgren will throw him under the bus in a heartbeat. Chance of the Axe: 25-1

Mike Tomlin: Tomlin has incredible job security in Pittsburgh. Chance of the Axe: nil


Gary Kubiak: To his credit, Owner Bob McNair gave Kubiak one more chance to make the playoffs in 2011. McNair’s patience was rewarded as the Texans have struggled through a myriad of injuries and are still on the precipice of their first ever playoff berth. Kudos goes to Kubiak who has been a calming influence on this young team. Chance of the Axe: 5,000-1

Jim Caldwell: Peyton Manning’s injury not only exposed the Colts for their overall lack of talent, but also Jim Caldwell for his inability to coach. It would be shocking to see him survive this debacle. Chance of the Axe: EVEN

Mel Tucker: Tucker is just holding the job until season’s end. Watch for Bengals offensive coordinator Jay Gruden to get a shot here. Gruden has done a marvelous job with Andy Dalton and may be one of the only people in football who can fix Blaine Gabbert. Chance of the Axe: 3-5

Mike Munchak: I have always believed that, like catchers in baseball, offensive linemen are perfect choices for head coaches in the NFL. Munchak has done a very credible job in his first year in Nashville. Look for him to continue to rise in the coaching ranks over the next few seasons. Chance of the Axe: 10,000-1


John Fox: Give credit to John Fox. He did not want to play Tim Tebow, but when he finally did, he changed the team’s offensive scheme and has given them a real shot to make the playoffs this year. More importantly, Fox has resurrected the Denver defense to one that plays with speed and passion. Chance of the Axe: 50,000-1

Todd Haley: GM Scott Pioli should fire Haley within one day of the season ending. Haley is difficult to work with, stubborn as a mule, and arrogant about his play calling abilities. In fact, the Chiefs’ success this season has been mostly on the defensive side of the ball. Defensive Coordinator Romeo Crennel has worked his magic keeping the Chiefs in games and may be a good fit as top man as soon as Haley gets chopped. Chance of the Axe: 3-5

Hue Jackson: Jackson has done a very solid job this season, considering that he has lost his starting quarterback, running back, and various wide receivers due to injury. Jackson has a reputation as a players’ coach and has the respect of QB Carson Palmer and the veterans. Chance of the Axe: 2500-1

Norv Turner: Turn out the lights, the party is over for Norv Turner in San Diego. Both GM A.J. Smith and Turner should be on their way out of town as soon as the Chargers are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. Chance for the Axe: 1-2

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The Sunday morning host of ESPN’s @RotoExperts Fantasy Football GameDay, Dr. Roto is a Fantasy Sports Writer & On Air Personality. A subject of a UPN newscast for guiding numerous Fantasy Sports participants to league titles, Dr. Roto has answered over 10,000 Fantasy MLB, NFL and NBA questions over the past two decades. You can also listen to Dr. Roto on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio with Scott Engel and the morning crew every Monday, Wednesday and Friday, at 10am ET. You may email Dr. Roto directly @ or follow him on Twitter @DrRoto


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