Below we’ve measured each fighter’s performance in major fights over the last 5 years. Dave Herman doesn’t have the 3 fights at Fight Metric we require for a proper breakdown, so his stats should be taken with an extra dose of skepticism.
Ed. Note: Make sure to check out all of Mike the Geek's other MMA analysis over at Breakdown Fights]
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Note: Dave Herman does not have the 3 fights in the Fight Metric database that we require for a proper breakdown, so his stats should be taken with an extra dose of skepticism.
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Understanding the Stats:
Data only includes fights from the last 5 years with stats in the Fight Metric database. That means fights in smaller organizations are ignored.
Results are color-coded by how the fighter compares to all other fighters in the database: the darker the green the better, the darker the red the worse. High numbers are good in the fighter’s column, low numbers are good in the fighter’s opponents column.
The “probability of win” (top of stats) is based on analysis of the stats that matter the most in determining who wins fights, and is the most important thing I look at when deciding how to wager on a fight (read more).
The “level of competition” (bottom of stats) captures how difficult the fighter’s opponents have been by showing the total 5-year W/L record of opponents at the time they fought. It’s easy to rack up sexy stats when you fight goofs (and vice-versa) so stats should be viewed with the level of competition in mind (read more).
Click to read more FAQs about understanding these stats.
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