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2011 MLB Power Rankings: Week 4 - Opposing Views

2011 MLB Power Rankings: Week 4

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TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs. At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)

At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.

From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.

A few observations after one month of play.

  • The St. Louis Cardinals are in our top spot at only two games above .500. This is a result of winning the majority of their games by large margins and losing by small ones. You can look to their problems with closing games as the reason their record is not better. Monitor that situation closely, if they can fix the problem, you should be able to ride them. If not, it will be a pretty frustrating proposition trying to make any money betting on them this year.
  • The Boston Red Sox are streaking and have moved up nine spots from #27 last week to #16 this week and going 8-2 in their last ten games. Remember just two weeks ago when the sky was falling over Fenway Park? Now that was an opportunity to play them for a hot streak.
  • I don’t hear many people talking about the Florida Marlins but they moved up 10 spots this week and are also 8-2 in their last ten games. The Marlins went from -6 to +14 this week. While the Phillies get all the hype, personally, I think this is your NL East Division winner.
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are the complete opposite of the Cardinals, they are 1 game over .500 however they have given up 14 more runs than they have scored. This means they are winning by small margins and getting crushed in their losses. This is a warning sign and an opportunity to look to bet against them in certain games.
  • The Minnesota Twins have been devastated by injuries and it shows giving up 24 more runs than they have scored. This is a team to watch on the long side if they can get healthy.
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates, Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners are what they are. Unless something changes with the composition of their rosters, you should be able to make money betting against them all year long.

TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 4

TEAM
WINS
LOSSES
WIN %
R S
R A
Net Runs

1Cardinals
12
10
.554
114
83
+31

2 – Rangers
14
7
.667
112
109
+30

3 – Yankees
12
6
.667
109
82
+27

4 – Phillies
15
6
.714
95
69
+26

5Indians
13
8
.619
105
80
+25

6 – Rockies
14
7
.667
106
86
+20

7 – Reds
11
11
.500
114
97
+17

8 – Marlins
13
7
.650
86
72
+14

9 – Brewers
11
10
.524
98
85
+13

10 – Athletics
11
11
.500
80
68
+12

11 – Braves
11
12
.478
87
76
+11

12 – Royals
12
10
.545
112
105
+7

13 – Angels
12
10
.545
85
80
+5

14 – Tigers
12
10
.545
100
98
+2

15 – Giants
10
11
.476
87
88
-1

16 – Red Sox
10
11
.476
92
95
-3

17.5 – Rays
11
11
.500
79
84
-5

17.5 – Blue Jays
9
12
.429
89
94
-5

19 – Nationals
10
10
.500
81
87
-6

20 – Mets
9
13
.409
99
108
-9

21 – Padres
8
14
.364
63
73
-10

22 – Dodgers
12
11
.522
95
109
-14

23 – White Sox
8
14
.364
94
110
-116

24 – Diamondbacks
8
12
.400
96
115
-19

25 – Orioles
8
12
.400
77
98
-21

26 – Cubs
10
11
.467
89
112
-23

27.5 – Twins
9
12
.429
71
95
-24

27.5 – Pirates
9
12
.429
77
101
-24

29 – Astros
8
14
.364
97
123
-26

30 – Mariners
8
15
.348
78
112
-34

* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.

Please Note: We will be Hosting a LIVE CHAT during the 2011 NFL Draft. Please join us and take part in the discussion in the room. We’d love to hear your thoughts and opinions as the 2011 NFL Draft progresses in real time.

The founder and former owner of MC3 Sports Media, Mike Cardano is the Sr. Business Administrator for RotoExperts and the Executive Director here at TheXLog.com. You may email Mike @ michael.cardano@rotoexperts.com or follow him on Twitter @RotoExperts_MC3

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