MLB Baseball Betting Week of May 7 Recap at Bovada

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by Bovada Sportsbook Staff | May 15, 2012

The story of last week in Major League Baseball was clearly the incredible hitting display put on by the Texas Rangers’ Josh Hamilton, and a prop on Hamilton was one of the biggest wins for bettors at Bovada in baseball betting a week ago.

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Hamilton had one of the best weeks by a hitter in MLB history, which included a four-homer game in Baltimore on Tuesday. He became the 16th player in big league history to hit four homers in a game and first since 2003. Hamilton finished the week with nine homers, 18 RBIs and a .467 batting average (14-for-30). He led the majors in homers, RBIs, slugging percentage (1.433) and total bases (43) for the week. He was tied for first in runs scored and hits.

The prop that bettors hit on with Hamilton was in Sunday night’s 13-6 Texas victory over the Los Angeles Angels. Hamilton didn’t go yard in that game but did have two hits and three RBIs. There was a heavy lean on Hamilton going over 2.5 combined hits, runs and RBIs in the game.

Actually, the top three player props wins for bettors were all on Rangers last week. The other two were pitcher Yu Darvish going over six strikeouts in Friday’s win over the Angels (he had seven) and fellow Texas starter Neftali Feliz going over 4.5 strikeouts in Sunday’s win (he had five). The Rangers remain Bovada favorites to win the AL (9/4) and the World Series (5/1).

The top player prop for the book last week was St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright staying under 5.5 strikeouts in his start Saturday vs. Atlanta. Wainwright finished with five strikeouts as he was roughed up by the Braves.

The Cardinals looked like perhaps the NL’s best team before that weekend series with Atlanta. The Braves had lost seven in a row in St. Louis before Friday and ended up sweeping the Cardinals for the first time since Sept. 11-13, 2009. St. Louis is now 9/2 to win the NL pennant, while the Braves are 6/1.

Atlanta actually was good for the book in one regard last week. Before pounding the Cardinals, the Braves dropped two of three at the Chicago Cubs. And that was the biggest series result for Bovada as 100 percent of the action was on Atlanta winning the series. The best result for the players was on the Yankees taking two of three against the Mariners over the weekend. New York opened at -230 and closed at -250, taking 100 percent of the handle.

Bettors’ biggest wins on individual games for last week also involved the Bronx Bombers. The first was the Yankees’ 5-3 victory over Tampa Bay last Thursday behind ace pitcher CC Sabathia. New York took 81 percent of the action on the run line at -1.5 runs (+155) and almost 55 percent on the moneyline at -137. But easily the biggest win for bettors was the Yankees’ 6-2 win over the Mariners on Saturday. New York took 91 percent of the action on the run line at -1.5 (-105) and 89 percent on the moneyline at -210.

As far as early-week games, the book will have live play-by-play betting Tuesday on Padres at Nationals (on MASN) and Mariners at Red Sox (NESN) and then Wednesday on Red Sox at Rays (ESPN).

Those Tuesday games are both matinees and the Nationals game features Washington star Stephen Strasburg (3-0, 1.64). He might be the best pitcher in baseball already and is a threat to toss a no-hitter every time he takes the mound. Strasburg struck out 13 Pirates in just six innings in his last start. Washington is a big -230 favorite behind him for Tuesday.

Strasburg is reportedly on a 160-inning limit in his first full year back from Tommy John surgery. At his current rate of 6.3 innings per start, he'll reach 160 innings in his 26th start. That means the Nats would be shutting him down in late August even if they are in a pennant race.

Check back Thursday for the weekend live betting schedule at Bovada.

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