Week six of the SEC season is in the books and if you missed anything make sure you go here for the post-mortem. Our Alabama guy, Jay, joined us last week and redeemed himself by going 6-0 for the week. He's only joined us for two weeks but that puts him at 11-4 for the season. I went 5-1 as Auburn let me down. They always seem to get me no matter if I pick for them or against them. That puts me at 39-10 on the year. Onto this weeks picks...
South Carolina (5-1, 3-1) at Mississippi State (3-3, 0-3), 12:21 PM EST, SEC Network
As a Georgia fan this is where I hold out hope that the bizarro Bulldogs can get their season turned around. Unfortunately, I just can't see that happening here. Miss State has been decidedly mediocre this year and I can't help but think that South Carolina will be able to run the football and their defense will probably make some opportunistic plays. As of right now I haven't seen any decision made by Dan Mullen in terms of his starting QB but I would venture to say that Tyler Russell will get some playing time in this one. Despite being ranked #1 in the league in pass defense I think the Gamecocks are nowhere near as good as their pass defense numbers might indicate. They have played Kentucky, Navy, Auburn and Vanderbilt in three of their games. Not exactly a who's who of the passing game. In fact, South Carolina has played 4 of the bottom 15 teams in the Nation in terms of passing yardage per game. If I was Miss State I would use Russell to try and get something downfield against the Gamecocks and then come back on the ground. All that being said, I think the Gamecocks win a game that ends up being closer than it probably should be.
South Carolina 27 Mississippi State 20
LSU (6-0, 3-0) at Tennessee (3-2, 0-2), 3:30 PM EST, CBS
If Tennessee can't get anything going offensively against Georgia with Tyler Bray then I think they are going to have a very tough time moving the football on LSU with Matt Simms. What will be a close game early will turn into a route late. The Honey Badger and the Tigers will stay undefeated in this one.
LSU 31 Tennessee 12
Alabama (6-0, 3-0) at Ole Miss (2-3, 0-2), 6:00 PM EST, ESPN2
On one side of the field we have Nick Saban and on the other side of the field we have Houston Nutt. Pause for dramatic effect. Which coach would you like to have coaching your team on Saturday? Let's just say that Bama has a decided schematic advantage in this one. Then you tell me that RB Brandon Bolden and three other players (including two offensive linemen) will be suspended for this game? Add to that the fact that this Ole Miss team could only score against Georgia by using trick plays and we have ourselves a rout.
Alabama 35 Ole Miss 6
Florida (4-2, 2-2) at Auburn (4-2, 2-1), 7:00 PM EST, ESPN
This is the most interesting game of the week in the SEC and both of these two teams come in to this match-up limping. This one could very well come down to which team gets the best QB play. Auburn freshman Kiehl Frazier has only thrown 5 passes all year (and 2 of them have been picked off) but he has been getting more and more reps for the Tigers. In the last four games he's seen more action each game and has gained more yardage on the ground in every game. That being said, if he's simply being used to run the ball everytime he's in then Florida should be able to snuff that out pretty easily. There still has been no decision in which QB will play for Florida but both of their back-ups to John Brantley have thrown two picks in 16 or less attempts. This will come down to who runs the football better and which defense is better against the run. For some reason I think Florida will win both aspects of that battle. Don't ask me why but it's a gut feeling and I think Florida will pick up some momentum here heading into the Georgia game in a couple of weeks.
Florida 24 Auburn 14
Georgia (4-2, 3-1) at Vanderbilt (3-2, 1-2), 7:00 PM, Fox Sports Network
Georgia seems to have gotten progressively better as the season has gone on and Vanderbilt seems to have gotten progressively worse. The key stat in this one could very well be that Vanderbilt boasts the Nation's 100th rushing offense at 115 yards/game and Georgia boasts the Nation's 12th ranked rushing defense giving up just 85 yards per game. So it's weakness versus strength. Georgia's ability to stop the run this year has been their strength but it might have a bigger advantage in the passing game this week. The Georgia defense is ranked 10th in the Nation against the pass (I know it's hard to believe) and the Vandy offense ranks 114th. This just doesn't look like a good one for Vandy anyway that you slice it. The one wildcard might be how much action Jordan Rogers sees instead of Larry Smith. That being said, I think Georgia controls this one throughout and then gets two weeks to see if it can shed it's boogieman (Florida).
Georgia 31 Vandy 12