I’m going to start listing some trap games for the 2012 season. These trap games are games that I feel could be bad spots for the favored teams. I’ll start with the conference I’m most familiar with, the Big 12.
This is a game in which I believe Iowa State will have a little extra incentive to win. This series has been very close as it is. The last 4 years their games have been decided by a TD or less. Iowa St. has always given KSU fits. I expect it to be no different this year.
K-State coming off HUGE rivalry game
The Kansas State at Iowa State game falls in line as a great spot for ISU since it comes a week after KSU’s annual rivalry game with Kansas. The Kansas State v Kansas game has always been considered a HUGE in-state rivalry for the Kansas schools. The biggest reason being that this game is all about recruiting wars. Kansas has one of the best junior college systems in the country. And each will do their best to try and gain that advantage with their JC recruiting.
After KSU plays this emotionally charged game, they will be visiting Ames for the first time since 2007. This game has been played on a neutral field for the last few years before it was moved back to a home and home starting last year in Manhattan.
So the excitement factor should be extremely high for Cyclone fans for this game. KSU is not only coming off a big in-state rivalry game, they will also have to go to West Virginia the following week. So this comes very close to being a sandwich game.
The point spread is key
The biggest question for us bettors will be how much will we get on the point spread?
The game was Iowa State +10 last year in Manhattan, and the Cyclones covered, losing 30-23. We won’t get that much this year since I expect KSU to have a loss (OU) by the time they get to Ames.
What I would like to see is KSU beat Kansas and rub a little salt in their wounds with the score. That might buy us an extra point or two. I’m thinking it’s going to be around ISU +6 or more.
Must win situation for Cyclones?
I think there is a decent chance that the Cyclones could be in desperation mode by the time these teams meet. Iowa State plays Texas Tech in their first conference game on September 29th, they then go on to play at TCU the following week. If they lose to Texas Tech, there is a good chance they will be 0-2 in Big 12 play going into this game. Therefore, they will probably put all of their emotional eggs in one basket for the Kansas State game. My bet is a cover or an outright upset over a KSU team who won’t find the going with their schedule quite as smooth as they did last year.
What do you think of Iowa State’s chances of pulling the upset in this game? And let me know some of the potential trap games you are looking at this season. Thanks,