Rickie Weeks is slowly becoming this years Adam Dunn, painful at bat by painful at bat.
First, let's get it out of the way that I personally have always felt Rickie Weeks was severely overvalued by the majority of fantasy owners. Maybe fantasy owners remember back in the '06, '07 and '08 years when he actually used to run and that's where the perceived value comes from.
For the life of me I really haven't been able to figure it out. The guy is a career .250 hitter, he hasn't stole more than 11 bags in the past three years and hit just 20 home runs last year. What were owners really expecting this year anyways? A .260 BA, 25 homers, 60 ribbies and maybe if your lucky 10 bags?
I understand he plays second which isn't the deepest position but come on that it simply not worthy of the price tag it came with this year.
But let's move on, no sense in harping on why/how we overvalued him preseason when we can discuss his current value. Which at this point is next to nothing. Let's also get this out of the way, if you can obtain any real value for Rickie on the block right now please feel free to go ahead and do so.
Although Rickie actually has five hits over his past four games and his first two hit effort since mid April it's still best to stay away right now. Last year's argument in dealing for Adam Dunn was, "look at his career stats there's simply no way he can do this all year long". Guess what? He did it all year long.
It's well known that Rickie has had a penchant for the strikeout for years now, as he recorded 184 back in '10, but had regressed quite a bit last year to 107. This year he already has 68 through just 51 games played and is on pace for 216 for the season, which would fall just short of Mark Reynolds mark of 223.
Rickie simply can't turn his season around if he continues to swing and miss as he has been. Stole this one from over at ESPN but Rickie is hitting .080 in 29 plate appearances that were clocked at 93 MPH or higher. You know it's a bad sign when a young guy can't get around on a fastball, it's simply been swing and miss at bat after swing and miss at bat.
Although with a deeper look at the stats it appears that there is room for hope, but also room for despair. His K% is the highest of his career at 30.4%, just about a full 10% higher than last years. But his BAPIP certainly has room for improvement, as it stands at .228. The past three years Rickie had a .332, .310 and .313 BAPIP. Realistically it has to get better, but honestly with how brutal he has looked to the naked eye it's questionable just how much so.
Oddly his BB% has actually risen this year in comparison to years past. It stands at 15.2% in comparison to 9.7, 10.1 and 7.4 from the past three seasons.
Here's the deal, don't make any move for Rickie where you sacrifice anybody of any remote value. If you play in a really deep league with a lot of extra roster spots feel free to go ahead and toss him on your bench for the time being. But do not under any circumstances trade anything of real value for him at this point in time.
There's no question he should improve going forward (in a logical world), but each and every game he looks a little bit more Adam Dunn al la '11. Again, this is why they play the game folks.
Fearless Forecast (ROS): 14 HR, 50 RBI, 8 SB, .235 BA, .345 OBP.
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Written by Mike Naclerio exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
Follow Mike on twitter @MikeNaclerio.