Mixed results for my season win totals selections. My Oregon State O 4.5 wins has already cashed as the Beavers are sitting 5-0 and ranked in the top 10. But my Auburn O 7 wins and my Utah O 7.5 wins both look lost. However, my UCLA O 6 wins is looking real good and Iowa’s upset of Michigan State last week was a big boost to their O 7.5 wins. Tennessee O 7 wins is not looking great, but the easy part of their schedule kicks in after the Alabama game.
Beating the closing line
I have updated this segment. Last week I beat the closing line in 7 of 9 games and my overall closing line value for week # 7 was +.58.
After 7 weeks I have beaten the closing line in 63 of 87 games (72.41%), I have matched the closing line in 13 other games and I have wagered on the wrong side of the closing number in 11 games for an overall closing line value of +1.59
Pezgordo’s Week # 8 College football Picks
Vandy has played 4 SEC games and scored 13, 3, 19 & 17 points. Tough to cover a 7 point spread when you average 13 ppg. Auburn is allowing 26.50 ppg but they have faced come high powered offenses including Clemson, ULM, Arkansas and Ole Miss. So the Tiger D is better than their stats indicate as they have allowed these 26.50 ppg vs teams that average 32.63 ppg.
SabertStxVii has a great write-up here on this game.
In 4 of the last 5 weeks UW has faced the following defenses: LSU (12.67 ppg), Stanford (21.50 ppg), Oregon (21.50 ppg) & USC (18.50 ppg). This week they get an Arizona defense that is allowing 544 ypg and 39.20 ppg. I believe Keith Price and his make shift OL will have a lot more success on offense than they have had the past several games. On the other side of the ball new DC Wilcox has the UW D playing much better this season allowing 28.40 ppg vs teams that average 35.67 ppg.
Michigan State +10.5
Just thought this was too many points in a rivalry game like this. Sparty also has the best defense in the Big 10, though Blue is a very close second.
Stanford – California U 49
“So this is the Big Game?” It’s the 30th anniversary of “The Play.”