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NFL 2010 Team Efficiency Rankings - Final - Opposing Views

NFL 2010 Team Efficiency Rankings - Final

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The team rankings below are in terms of generic win probability.

The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site.

Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule, and all ratings include adjustments for opponent strength.

Offensive rank (ORANK) is offensive generic win probability, which is based on each team's offensive efficiency stats only. In other words, it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. DRANK is is a team's generic win probability rank assuming it had a league-average offense.

GWP is based on a logistic regression model applied to current team stats. The model includes offensive and defensive passing and running efficiency, offensive turnover rates, defensive interception rates, and team penalty rates. If you're scratching your head wondering why a team is ranked where it is, just scroll down to the second table to see the stats of all 32 teams.

Click on the table headers to sort.

RANK
TEAM
LAST WK
GWP
Opp GWP
O RANK
D RANK

1
SD
1
0.81
0.44
2
2

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2
PIT
3
0.78
0.51
5
1

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3
GB
5
0.75
0.52
4
6

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4
NE
2
0.75
0.58
1
19

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5
NYG
4
0.68
0.49
6
8

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6
BAL
7
0.63
0.52
12
5

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7
PHI
6
0.62
0.52
7
10

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8
NYJ
11
0.62
0.57
20
3

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9
IND
9
0.57
0.52
13
12

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10
HOU
14
0.56
0.54
3
30

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11
MIA
8
0.55
0.56
24
14

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12
TEN
10
0.54
0.53
19
4

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13
KC
12
0.51
0.45
22
9

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14
CHI
13
0.51
0.52
29
7

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15
MIN
16
0.51
0.55
27
11

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16
DAL
15
0.50
0.51
9
25

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17
TB
23
0.50
0.41
8
26

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18
CIN
24
0.48
0.56
16
21

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19
BUF
17
0.47
0.57
25
22

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20
NO
18
0.46
0.42
11
24

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21
ATL
20
0.46
0.47
17
20

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22
DET
26
0.43
0.56
23
17

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23
OAK
22
0.43
0.49
15
13

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24
SF
25
0.43
0.43
14
16

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25
CLE
19
0.43
0.52
26
23

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26
WAS
21
0.40
0.53
21
29

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27
JAC
27
0.33
0.53
18
31

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28
DEN
28
0.33
0.47
10
32

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29
SEA
29
0.29
0.43
28
27

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30
STL
30
0.27
0.40
30
18

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31
CAR
31
0.21
0.47
32
15

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32
ARI
32
0.19
0.42
31
28

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And here are each team's efficiency stats.

TEAM
OPASS
ORUN
OINT%
OFUM%
DPASS
DRUN
DINT%
PENRATE

ARI
4.8
4.3
3.4
1.1
6.5
4.4
3.2
0.43

ATL
5.9
3.8
1.6
0.5
6.1
4.6
3.9
0.29

BAL
6.3
3.8
2.0
0.7
5.8
3.9
3.2
0.33

BUF
5.7
4.3
4.0
1.5
6.1
4.8
2.3
0.31

CAR
4.3
4.3
4.3
2.2
6.1
3.9
3.2
0.45

CHI
5.8
3.9
4.5
0.1
5.8
3.7
3.6
0.40

CIN
6.1
3.6
3.4
1.3
6.4
4.4
3.1
0.36

CLE
5.8
4.0
3.8
1.7
6.6
4.1
3.7
0.34

DAL
6.7
4.2
3.3
0.6
6.8
4.3
3.7
0.43

DEN
6.5
3.9
2.1
1.6
7.2
4.7
2.0
0.46

DET
5.8
4.0
2.5
0.7
6.2
4.5
2.7
0.49

GB
7.1
3.8
2.4
0.5
5.4
4.7
4.6
0.31

HOU
6.8
4.8
2.1
0.6
7.4
4.0
2.4
0.34

IND
6.6
3.8
2.5
0.6
6.1
4.6
1.9
0.34

JAC
6.0
4.7
4.5
1.0
7.5
4.7
2.6
0.34

KC
5.9
4.7
1.7
0.8
5.7
4.3
2.4
0.37

MIA
5.9
3.7
3.8
1.5
6.2
3.6
2.2
0.29

MIN
5.7
4.4
5.1
0.9
6.0
3.9
2.8
0.39

NE
7.2
4.3
1.0
0.2
6.4
4.2
4.1
0.38

NO
6.5
4.0
3.3
0.8
5.9
4.3
1.8
0.44

NYG
7.0
4.6
4.6
1.4
5.7
4.2
3.0
0.39

NYJ
5.9
4.4
2.7
1.3
5.6
3.6
2.3
0.45

OAK
5.9
4.9
3.3
1.1
5.9
4.5
2.6
0.63

PHI
6.4
5.5
2.3
0.8
6.0
4.2
4.3
0.54

PIT
6.9
4.1
1.9
1.1
5.3
3.0
3.5
0.46

SD
7.8
4.0
2.4
1.5
5.3
3.7
3.3
0.34

SF
6.2
4.1
3.0
0.8
6.3
3.5
2.7
0.47

SEA
5.8
3.7
3.7
0.4
6.4
4.2
2.1
0.44

STL
5.2
3.7
2.5
0.2
5.8
4.5
2.5
0.42

TB
6.4
4.6
1.2
0.9
5.9
4.7
3.6
0.43

TEN
6.2
4.3
3.2
1.0
6.1
3.9
2.7
0.51

WAS
6.0
4.2
3.1
0.8
6.9
4.6
2.4
0.32

Avg
6.2
4.2
3.0
0.9
6.2
4.2
2.9
0.40

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