Although many pundits and political analysts predicted the so-called “Summer of Trump” would fade as people put on their winter coats and scarves, there are no signs Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is slowing, even as the cold settles in.
Since July, Republican presidential candidate Trump has led primary polls, meaning he is closing in on 100 days at the top, The Hill reported. Although some candidates have dropped out of the race and Ben Carson, another outsider candidate, is gaining ground, Trump has proven he shouldn’t be underestimated.
“All of us dismissed Trump early on. A summer fling, momentary amusement,” Chris Wallace, host of “Fox News Sunday,” said after interviewing Trump. “As I watch that interview … I am beginning to believe he could be elected president of the United States.”
Trump’s rise is virtually unprecedented. “I can think of no situation in either party where someone has dominated the national and early-state polls simultaneously for as long as he has,” said Republican strategist Matt Mackowiak. “We’re in unchartered territory. There is some realization that there’s a real chance he could win the nomination.”
The Iowa caucus is 100 days away, but Trump is slumping behind in the local polls, despite his national lead. According to a survey from Quinnipiac University released Oct. 22, Carson has pulled ahead of Trump by 8 points, at 28 percent versus 20 percent, largely due to women supporting Carson. This could indicate the inflammatory remarks that helped Trump break the ranks could be come back to haunt him as people go to cast their votes.
Despite Trump’s success, some still aren’t sure he’s a safe bet. “There’s no way he’ll win, I’m still completely unconvinced,” said former New Hampshire GOP Chairman Fergus Cullen. “Could he hang around for another 108 days and be a factor in New Hampshire? I’m starting to come around to that possibility. It’s taking longer for the anti-Trump vote to consolidate around someone, but it’s going to happen.”