A Quinnipiac University poll released on May 28 found five Republicans are tied with one another in their level of support in the 2016 presidential race. Hillary Clinton has a clear lead in the Democratic race. Six more Republicans will have to compete with each other for a spot on premier debates, which only allow 10 candidates.
Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said, “Safe to say, the 2016 Republican presidential primary is anyone's race. With no frontrunner and identical numbers for the top five contenders, it's a horserace which can only be described as a scrambled field — at least so far.”
The front runners, none of whom display a clear lead, include former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. They are currently tied at 10 percent each, the independent Quinnipiac poll finds.
Surveys of national voters do not speak to how voters in important states like New Hampshire and Iowa will cast their vote eight months in advance, CNN says. The significance comes from the poll’s impact on media organizations who choose who attends publicized debates. For both Fox News and CNN, only the top-10 finishers will get a spot at the podium.
Accordingly, the next four Republicans likely to be included are, in descending order, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, real estate mogul Donald Trump and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Tied at the bottom with only one place left are businesswoman Carly Fiorina and Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Each has only 2 percent of Republican support.
Clinton is currently dominating the Democratic field with 57 percent, a 3 percent drop since April. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 15 percent. Vice President Joe Biden has 9 percent. If the presidential election were today, Clinton would beat any of her potential Republican rivals.
Although Clinton may maintain a clear lead, Americans are not entirely sure she is honest and trustworthy. The poll found 53 percent said she is honest and trustworthy, but 39 percent disagreed. Of those polled, 60 percent say Clinton has strong leadership qualities, compared to 37 percent to the contrary. The strongest divide for Clinton comes from whether voters think she cares about their needs and problems: 48 percent think she cares, but 47 percent believe she does not.
Photo Source: Gage Skidmore/Flickr