The latest data released showcases Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton far ahead of her primary opponents and leads all of her Republican challengers in hypothetical matchups, as well.
In the poll released on July 15, Clinton receives the support of 59 percent of Democratic voters, more than three times more than her closest Democratic competitor, Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont (14 percent). Vice President Joe Biden, who may be considering a run for the White House, received eight percent of the vote. Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley, former Rhode Island Governor (and former Republican) Lincoln Chaffee and former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb all polled with two percent or less.
Clinton’s leads declines when up against some of her potential Republican challengers. However, in hypothetical head-to-head matchups, the former Secretary of State still emerges victorious.
Her closest challenger, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, only trails Clinton by four points (46 to 42 percent). Former Florida Senator Marco Rubio also performed decently against Clinton, but trailed her 46 to 40 percent. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, currently in his second bid for the presidency, received 40 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 49 percent. For candidates Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, businessman Donald Trump and Dr. Ben Carson, their support heavily declined when up against Clinton; Clinton defeats Paul 48 to 38 percent, Clinton wins against Trump easily, 51 to 34 percent and handily defeats Carson 49 to 36 percent. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, who only entered the race this week, trailed Clinton 48 to 37 percent.
“Even if she cruises through the primaries, the general election is no sure bet for Clinton,” David Paleologos, the head of the polling research at Suffolk University in Boston, Massachusetts, said about the results. “She doesn’t poll above the 50 percent threshold against anyone but Donald Trump.”
The ongoing email scandal that the Clinton campaign has tried to avoid is still affecting her polling numbers and support among non-Democratic voters. While 59 percent of Democrats are still going to support Clinton in the wake of the scandal, 38 percent of all voters say they will not vote for Clinton due to her alleged actions in the matter. Fortunately for the Clinton camp, 43 percent of respondents said the issue would not affect the way they vote come November 8, 2016.
Voters were also asked about the U.S. Supreme Court’s recent decision affirming President Barack Obama’s health care law and federally legalizing same sex marriage. More than half of respondents, 51 percent, believe that states should allow same sex marriage in their jurisdictions, while 33 percent feel same sex marriages should not be allowed. Concerning the Affordable Care Act, 52 percent of voters would rather see the law updated and fixed, rather than repealed altogether. 36 percent believed that if states wanted to repeal the law, they should be allowed to do so.
The poll’s margin of error was three percent, adding even more significance to the Clinton-Bush matchup. If those points swung Bush's way, Clinton would beat Bush by just one percentage point.