Free agency predictions and notes from your friends at THT
This year's free agent class is a relatively polarizing one. There are a few top names readily available at each position, but the depth is extraordinarily shallow. When the best available third basemen is Adrian Beltre and the second best available third basemen is a dead heat between former no-walk White Sox Juan Uribe (which is not to say that he was not valuable for the Giants over 2009-10) and the relatively punchless modern Miguel Tejada (totally fizzled up?), the prevalent scarcity becomes relatively obvious. Scarcity is a horrible thing from a team's budget perspective because it allows those top players to charge a market premium for their services (cough cough Carl Crawford cough cough) that teams will ultimately get a poor return on (cough cough the Angels made this mistake before with Torii Hunter cough cough). It also means otherwise poor/relatively poor players that usually get low-risk/moderate-reward-type contracts get, as my friend Adam likes to say, paaaaaaid.
Accordingly, a handful of us thought it might be interesting to toss our two cents in on where we thought the top names would land. If nothing more, this will serve as a basis for bragging rights in four or so months. Despite the lack of firm science behind our picking methodology (though we have explained some of our more controversial picks below the chart), the picks are...
NAME Jeffrey Gross Rich. Barbieri Brad Johnson Vince Caramela Cliff Lee Nationals Yankees Yankees Rangers Carl Crawford Angels Angels Angels Red Sox Adrian Beltre Red Sox Rockies Angels Blue Jays Jayson Werth Red Sox Red Sox Red Sox Angels Adam Dunn Cubs Nationals White Sox White Sox Victor Martinez Tigers Rangers Tigers Tigers Rafael Soriano Diamondbacks Angels Angels White Sox Mariano Rivera Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Paul Konerko White Sox Diamondbacks Cubs Diamondbacks Derek Jeter Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Hiroki Kuroda Rangers Rangers Mets Rockies Jorge De La Rosa Pirates Brewers Rangers Nationals Carl Pavano Twins Braves Cardinals Mariners Jake Westbrook Rockies Cardinals Rockies Cardinals Aubrey Huff Giants Giants Giants Cubs Juan Uribe Giants Giants Dodgers Rangers Carlos Pena Nationals White Sox Nationals Rays Jim Thome Rays Twins Twins Athletics Vladimir Guerrero Rangers Tampa Bay White Sox White Sox Manny Ramirez White Sox White Sox Rangers Retires Magglio Ordonez Tigers Tigers Tigers Twins Orlando Hudson Cardinals Mets Cubs Cardinals Lance Berkman Rangers White Sox Rays Braves Derrek Lee Orioles Orioles Diamondbacks Orioles Andy Pettitte Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Jon Garland Cardinals Mets Padres Twins Javier Vazquez Nationals Mariners Nationals Padres JJ Putz Angels Cardinals Nationals Red Sox Scott Downs Red Sox Braves Yankees Diamondbacks Hideki Matsui Mariners Mariners Unsigned Retires Brandon Webb Mariners White Sox Nationals Royals