NCAA Basketball
NCAA Basketball

How Vital is Kyrie Irving to Duke?

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Duke is the national consensus number 1 team being undefeated and coming off a championship season.  This year the Blue Devils might have been even better with the additions of Seth Curry and superstar freshman point guard Kyrie Irving.  Irving had been spectacular in the early going even getting hype as a potential top pick in the 2011 NBA draft.  Now his season is in doubt with a foot injury.

GAME DUKE OPP w/ Irving w/o Irving Impact
1 Saint Louis 98.7% 97.1% -1.6%
2 Elon 99.4% 99.0% -0.4%
3 at N.C. Greensboro 100.0% 99.6% -0.4%
4 Miami (FL) 90.1% 80.2% -9.9%
5 UAB 93.6% 93.0% -0.6%
6 Maryland 85.2% 76.9% -8.3%
7 at Florida St. 60.9% 52.3% -8.6%
8 Virginia 97.1% 94.1% -3.0%
9 at N.C. State 93.2% 86.5% -6.7%
10 at Wake Forest 89.0% 80.8% -8.2%
11 Boston Coll. 91.9% 89.1% -2.8%
12 at St. John's 81.0% 70.1% -10.9%
13 at Maryland 70.2% 58.9% -11.3%
14 N.C. State 98.2% 97.4% -0.8%
15 North Carolina 99.6% 98.5% -1.1%
16 at Miami (FL) 75.6% 67.6% -8.0%
17 at Virginia 90.9% 82.9% -8.0%
18 Georgia Tech 97.1% 92.4% -4.7%
19 Temple 84.8% 78.8% -6.0%
20 at Virginia Tech 96.3% 92.1% -4.2%
21 Clemson 97.2% 94.5% -2.7%
22 at North Carolina 86.4% 80.4% -6.0%
 

AVGERAGE

89.8% 84.6% -5.2%

Per game the loss of Irving is worth -5.2 percent. With Irving, Duke was projected to have a 8.1 percent chance of going undefeated.  Now the Dukies have less than a two percent chance and are projected for 1.2 fewer wins if Irving is unable to play again this season.