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Poll: Trump Dips Below Obama's Worst Approval Rating

| by Robert Fowler

New data from a conservative-leaning polling group has found that approval for President Donald Trump's job performance has hit a new low. The data revealed a lower approval for Trump than it had ever recorded for his predecessor, former President Barack Obama.

On Aug. 2, a Rasmussen Reports survey found that 38 percent of likely U.S. voters approved of Trump's job performance, while 62 percent disapproved. The data marked the lowest approval rating the polling group has recorded for the president since he assumed office.

The poll also uncovered more negativity toward Trump  than positivity; only 25 percent of respondents strongly approved of the president's job performance, while 50 percent strongly disapproved.

Rasmussen, a decidedly Republican-leaning poll group, had consistently recorded higher approval ratings for Trump than the majority of other polling groups. FiveThirtyEight, the polling website spearheaded by statistician Nate Silver, estimated that Rasmussen had a mean-reverted bias that skewed conservative by two percentage points.

Trump, who frequently blasts polls that reflect a negative approval rating for him, has previously touted Rasmussen's findings. On June 18, the president took to social media to share the polling group's findings and asserted that they indicated he was more popular than Obama.

"The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating," Trump tweeted. "That's higher than O's #'s!"

The Pulitzer Prize-winning fact-checker PolitiFact ruled Trump's tweet to be mostly false, noting that the conservative-leaning polling group had actually found higher approval for Obama during the same timeframe in his first term. In June 2009, Rasmussen's polling for Obama found that his approval never dropped below 54 percent.

The latest Rasmussen poll found that Trump's approval rating had sunk lower than even Obama's worst level of approval throughout his two terms. Between 2009 and 2017, Rasmussen never recorded a job approval rating for Obama that reached below 40 percent.

Managing editor Fran Coombs of Rasmussen Reports asserted that Trump's approval rating was sinking because Republican-leaning voters were frustrated by his inability to leverage the GOP majority in Congress to repeal the previous administration's Affordable Care Act, commonly called "Obamacare."

"Trump supporters, and Republicans in particular, absolutely loathe Obamacare," Coombs told The Hill.

RealClearPolitics, after aggregating the last 10 national surveys released between July 12 and Aug. 1, found that Trump had an average approval rating of 38 percent and an average disapproval of 57 percent.

Will Trump's approval rating improve over time?
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