A newly-released University of Colorado study predicts that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama in November.
Romney will also win the popular vote 52.9 percent to 47.1 percent, according to the study, reports the Boulder Daily Camera.
This study has been right in every election since 1980.
The study crunches economic data, unemployment numbers and per capita income in all states and then calculates a winner.
University of Colorado Political science professor Kenneth Bickers said in a statement: "Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble."
Political science professor Michael Berry, who co-authored the study, added: "For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner. The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office."
"What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it's the former, the president may receive credit for the economy's trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008."