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NFL Game Preview: Falcons vs Saints 9/26/2010

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The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Pierre Thomas is projected for 72 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 1.64 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.28 TDs to 1.4 interceptions.

Michael Turner averages 127 rushing yards and 1.36 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 74 yards and 0.58 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NO -3 --- Over/Under line is 50

'2010 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDNew Orleans SaintsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-1-0 All Games 1-1-0 No Edge
Road Games 0-1-0 Home Games 1-0-0 New Orleans Saints
When Underdog 0-0-0 When Favored 1-1-0 No Edge
Division Opp 0-0-0 Division Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 No Edge

2009 SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDNew Orleans SaintsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-5-0 All Games 10-9-0 Atlanta Falcons
Road Games 5-3-0 Home Games 5-5-0 Atlanta Falcons
When Underdog 5-3-0 When Favored 9-8-0 Atlanta Falcons
Division Opp 4-2-0 Division Opp 1-5-0 Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record 6-3-0 Opp .500+ Record 5-3-0 Atlanta Falcons

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDNew Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0 No Edge
On Road 0-1-0 At Home 0-1-0 UNDER
All Totals 2009 7-9-0 All Totals 2009 9-10-0 UNDER
On Road 2009 5-3-0 At Home 2009 5-5-0 OVER

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