TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs.
At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)
At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.
From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.
A few observations:
- The New York Yankees enter this week in our top spot. Yes I know that they aren’t even in first place in their division, but lets not forget that these rankings are used for wagering purposes. Right now, the Bombers come out on top when it comes to the likelihood of having a margin of victory greater then the spread in their games. While we are not suggesting that they are the best team in baseball, from a wagering standpoint, you can certainly make some good money betting on them with the right matchups.
- Some of the Cleveland bloom is starting to come off the Indians rose as they are now 5-5 in their last 10 games and have dropped out of the top spot for the first time this year.
- After starting 0-6, the Boston Red Sox have put one hell of a streak together and it shows in the Power Rankings, as this week they move up from # 13 to # 6.
- The Milwaukee Brewers are hot, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. It’s no coincidence that the club has been on a roll since Zack Greinke has started to round into form. In fact, just this past week I recommended riding Greinke and the Brewers while they were hot. They move up 7 spots this week from #18 to #11.
- Don’t look now but the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 3 games under .500 (yes you read that correctly) and only a -7 on the year. With a good week they may be able to get into positive territory.
- The Minnesota Twins continue remain this seasons biggest disappointment / surprise. Stars on their roster continue to resemble a M*A*S*H unit. They have the lowest win total in baseball (17) and after just 51 games, have given up an astounding 89 more runs then they have scored. Through the first two months our mantra has been, “Keep an eye on the health of this team for some wagering opportunities on the long side as you can expect a rise from the basement commensurate with the health of their star players.” The Twins are now dangerously close to being placed on our “Done” list. We are going to give them the month of June to see if they can get healthy and put something together, but the situation certainly looks bleak. You can continue to make money betting against them until their key players return to health.
|TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 9|
|TEAM||WINS||LOSSES||WIN %||R S||R A||Net Runs|
|1 – Yankees||28||23||.549||264||2095||+55|
|2 – Cardinals||32||22||.593||268||220||+48|
|3 – Indians||31||19||.620||242||197||+45|
|4 – Phillies||33||20||.623||220||178||+42|
|5 – Braves||30||24||.556||210||177||+33|
|6 – Red Sox||30||23||.566||253||221||+32|
|7 – Rays||28||24||.538||222||193||+29|
|8 – Rangers||28||25||.528||241||116||+25|
|9 – Blue Jays||27||26||.509||249||229||+20|
|10 – Rockies||25||27||.481||238||221||+17|
|11 – Brewers||29||24||.547||226||211||15|
|12 – Reds||227||27||.500||266||252||+14|
|13 – Marlins||30||21||.588||211||198||+13|
|14 – Athletics||27||27||.500||197||185||+12|
|15 – Diamondbacks||29||23||.547||243||232||+11|
|16 – Angels||28||27||.509||213||206||+7|
|17 – Pirates||24||27||.471||191||198||-7|
|19.5 – Tigers||26||23||.500||220||231||-11|
|19.5 – Mariners||26||26||.500||186||197||-11|
|21.5 – White Sox||24||31||.436||220||241||-21|
|21.5 – Nationals||22||30||.423||198||219||-21|
|23 – Mets||24||28||.462||212||236||-24|
|24 – Royals||23||29||.442||237||262||-25|
|25 – Padres||22||31||.415||179||206||-27|
|26 – Cubs||23||38||.451||219||253||-34|
|27 – Orioles||24||27||.471||209||248||-39|
|28.5 – Dodgers||24||30||.444||187||208||-39|
|28.5 – Astros||19||34||.358||209||270||-61|
|30 – Twins||17||34||.333||175||264||-89|
* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.