TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs.
At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)
At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.
From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.
- Our top five teams remain unchanged this week.
- The New York Yankees offense is among the best in the game no doubt. Currently they rank second in MLB with 399 run scored (Boston Red Sox 409) but their pitching isn’t getting the credit it deserves. While on the surface the current rotation may feature CC Sabathia and pray for rain, the reality is that the Yankee pitching staff on the whole, anchored by the ageless Mariano Rivera, is currently carrying the 4th-lowest ERA in the American League at 3.59 behind only the Oakland A’s, Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels. At this pace the Yankees would post its ERA since 1978, when they logged an absurdly low 3.18 (league average was 3.78). I think it’s important to note that if the current AL average ERA of 3.88 were to hold, that too would be the lowest since 1978 (not counting 1981 as it was a strike-shortened season).
- The Philadelphia Phillies offense isn’t what it once was, but the pitching has certainly lived up to the lofty preseason expectations created by the signing of Cliff Lee. Led by Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee the Phillies Team ERA is at a remarkable 3.05; Hence the best record in MLB at 49-30.
- You don’t hear much about the Atlanta Braves but at 3.08, they have the second best pitching in MLB and are nine games over .500.
- You want to know how to drop four spots in the rankings really quick? The St. Louis Cardinals score 21 runs this week while giving up 32. Credit the absence of the big bat missing in the heart of their lineup. Darn it, I can’t remember the guys name – I have it on the tip of my tong…..
- # 11 – Washington Nationals are two games over .500 @ + 12
- # 12 – Arizona Diamondbacks are seven games over .500 @ +11
- # 16 – strong> New York Mets without Ike Davis, David Wright and Johan Santana are now right at the .500 mark and have only given up two more runs on the year than they have scored! Could this be the week they break into the plus column?
- # 18 – San Francisco Giants are 10 games over .500 yet they have given up four more runs on the year then they have given up. That’s the sign of a team that knows how to win. They are going to have to find some offense from someone at some point here if they are going to repeat.
- # 20 – Seattle Mariners and # 21.5 Oakland A’s can’t hit, but they can pitch.
- # 21.5 – Pittsburgh Pirates are hanging in there at 1 game above .500 and only a -12 on the year. It’s hard to take them seriously though until they show that they can gore more runs than they give up.
|TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 13|
|TEAM||WINS||LOSSES||WIN %||R S||R A||Net Runs|
|1 – Yankees||45||31||.592||399||302||+97|
|2 – Red Sox||45||32||.584||409||324||+85|
|3 - Phillies||49||30||.620||320||257||+63|
|4 – Braves||44||35||.557||308||269||+39|
|5 – Reds||40||39||.506||383||347||+36|
|6 – Rays||44||34||.564||334||300||+34|
|7 – Brewers||44||35||.557||351||324||+27|
|8 – Tigers||42||36||.538||357||336||+21|
|9 – Rangers||41||38||.519||370||350||+20|
|10 – Cardinals||41||38||.519||369||353||+27|
|11 – Nationals||40||38||.513||306||294||+12|
|12 – Diamondbacks||39||34||.534||334||321||+13|
|13.5 – Blue Jays||39||39||.500||356||349||+7|
|13.5 – Indians||40||36||.526||325||318||+7|
|15 – Rockies||38||39||.494||344||338||+6|
|16 – Mets||39||39||.500||337||339||-2|
|17 – Angels||39||40||.494||297||300||-3|
|18 – Giants||44||34||.564||265||269||-4|
|19 – White Sox||38||41||.481||324||331||-7|
|20 – Mariners||39||39||.500||269||277||-8|
|21.5 – Athletics||35||44||.443||280||292||-12|
|21.5 – Pirates||39||38||.506||290||302||-12|
|23 – Padres||34||45||.430||273||303||-30|
|24 – Dodgers||35||44||.443||297||339||-42|
|25 – Royals||33||45||.423||342||385||-43|
|26 – Marlins||34||44||.436||293||338||-45|
|27 – Orioles||35||40||.467||313||359||-46|
|28 – Twins||32||44||.421||280||350||-70|
|29 – Cubs||31||46||.403||313||385||-72|
|30 – Astros||28||51||.354||316||401||-85|
* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.
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