TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs.
At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)
At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.
From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.
A few observations:
The Yankees, Red Sox, Phillies who are not coincidentally the top three ranked teams have all won eight out of their last ten games. The Nationals have gone 8-2 in their last ten games and the resurgent Minnesota Twins have also gone 8-2 winning 14 of their last 16 games.
If you recall for the past two weeks we have been recommending betting on the Twins. For the majority of the first half of the season, primarily because of injuries, they were the worst team in baseball. They are getting healthy on offense and pitching light out. I expect them to close the gap further before the All-Star break.
What a week for the Florida Marlins. First they demote 2009 ROY Chris Coghlan, then their manager Edwin Rodriguez resigned in a cowardly act. The Marlins are 0-10 and 1 for their last 19. It looks like Jack McKeon will run the club the rest of the way.
Is it time for a winning streak in Florida? Well, they aren’t a bad team so this isn’t going to last forever. My suggestion here comes from my days in the stock market where I always lived by the mantra that there was no need to catch a falling knife. I would let things settle a bit, let Hanley Ramirez truly get healthy and wait for Josh Johnson to get back in the lineup.
|TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 12|
|TEAM||WINS||LOSSES||WIN %||R S||R A||Net Runs|
|1 – Yankees||41||29||.586||372||276||+96|
|2 – Red Sox||43||28||.606||381||298||+83|
|3 - Phillies||40||28||.616||299||238||+61|
|4 – Braves||40||33||.548||283||251||+32|
|5 – Reds||38||35||.521||349||319||+30|
|6 – Cardinals||40||33||.548||348||321||+27|
|7 – Rangers||38||35||.521||336||315||+21|
|8.5 – Rays||39||33||.542||293||275||+18|
|8.5 – Tigers||39||33||.542||329||311||+18|
|10 – Brewers||38||28||.576||287||256||+31|
|11 – Diamondbacks||39||34||.534||334||321||+13|
|12 – Indians||39||31||.557||307||295||+12|
|13 – Rockies||35||36||.493||318||308||+10|
|14 – Blue Jays||36||36||.500||338||330||+8|
|15 – Nationals||35||37||.486||286||279||+7|
|16 – White Sox||35||38||.479||305||309||-4|
|17 – Giants||39||33||.542||248||254||-6|
|18 – Mets||35||37||.486||304||311||-7|
|19 – Mariners||37||35||.514||254||262||-8|
|20 – Angels||35||38||.479||271||282||-11|
|21 – Athletics||33||40||.452||265||277||-12|
|22 – Pirates||35||36||.493||262||278||-16|
|23 – Padres||30||43||.411||242||271||-29|
|24 – Royals||31||41||.431||322||359||-37|
|25 – Dodgers||32||41||.438||275||315||-40|
|26 – Orioles||32||37||.464||281||3234||-42|
|27 – Marlins||32||40||.444||276||319||-43|
|28 – Twins||31||39||.443||263||3200||-57|
|29 – Astros||27||46||.370||291||359||-68|
|30 – Cubs||29||42||.408||291||362||-71|
* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.
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