TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs.
At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)
At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.
From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.
A few observations:
- Reminding everyone how this works, the Yankees hold the top spot over the Red Sox at this point simply because they have mathematically proven to provide the best chance of covering spreads. The fact that the Red Sox lead them by two games and kick their butt every time they play is not relevant. That being said, the point of these Power Rankings is not to suggest who is in fact the best team, it’s to provide a betting tool to assist with wagering. For those of you that suggest the Red Sox should be ahead of the Yankees, if that’s what makes you happy, go ahead and flip them. Either way, the point is that both these teams provide very good wagering opportunities from the long side. There is no doubt however that the Boston Red Sox are en fuego.
- For those of you wagering on the short side against the Cleveland Indians thinking that there was no way their hot start could continue, you have been rewarded. The team that held the # 1 spot for the first 1/4 of the season has gone 1-9 in their last 10 games and is now only a +6 on the year dropping all the way to # 12.5 this week
- The Zack Greinke effect continues as the # 7 Milwaukee Brewers have been one of the best teams in baseball going 25-11 since he came off the DL. Zack himself has now won his last six starts and the Brewers have closed to .5 games of the St. Louis Cardinals. I hope many of you were able to take advantage of our call a few weeks ago to ride the Brewers and have been able to make some nice change. There’s no reason to jump off the band wagon now….
- For the past few weeks we’ve been saying that the Minnesota Twins were on life support. Then they swept a four game series against the Royals. Minnesota’s momentum has continued as they have now gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, no longer have the worst record in baseball and are now a – 64 up from -90 just two weeks ago. The Twins are getting healthy and are only 9 games in the AL Central with a long way to go. Considering who the Twins have been without this year, an ultimate AL Central title would be remarkable. It’s pretty clear that betting against the Twins is no longer the way to go.
|TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 11|
|TEAM||WINS||LOSSES||WIN %||R S||R A||Net Runs|
|1 – Yankees||36||27||.571||330||255||+75|
|2 – Red Sox||39||26||.600||350||281||+69|
|3 – Braves||38||28||.576||258||214||+44|
|4 – Phillies||40||26||.606||267||225||+42|
|5 – Cardinals||38||29||.567||324||283||+41|
|6 – Rangers||36||31||.537||313||278||+35|
|7 – Brewers||38||28||.576||287||256||+31|
|8 – Reds||34||33||.507||329||303||+26|
|9 – Diamondbacks||36||30||.545||304||284||+20|
|10 – Rays||35||30||.538||272||260||+12|
|11 – Tigers||35||30||.538||294||283||+11|
|12.5 – Indians||34||29||.540||283||277||+6|
|12.5 – Rockies||31||34||.477||286||280||+6|
|14 – Blue Jays||31||34||.477||286||280||+6|
|15.5 – Mariners||34||32||.515||241||244||-3|
|17 – White Sox||33||35||.485||289||296||-7|
|18 – Mets||32||33||.492||275||284||-9|
|19 – Nationals||30||36||.455||245||256||-11|
|20.5 – Marlins||32||32||.500||255||268||-13|
|22 – Angels||31||36||.463||248||264||-16|
|23 – Athletics||28||39||.418||240||260||-20|
|24.5 – Dodgers||31||36||.463||263||285||-22|
|24.5 – Padres||29||38||.433||224||246||-22|
|26 – Royals||29||37||.439||297||331||-34|
|27 – Orioles||30||33||.476||258||294||-36|
|28 – Twins||26||39||.400||246||310||-64|
|29 – Cubs||25||39||.391||258||327||-69|
|30 – Astros||24||42||.364||262||339||-77|
* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.
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