TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs.
At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.)
At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.
From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.
A few observations after Five weeks of play.
- The American League Central was the story the first month of this 2011 season playing backwards baseball to date. Before the season started, had I told you that going into May the Cleveland Indians would have the best record in MLB and the Kansas City Royals would be 2 games over .500 but the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins would have only 10 & 9 wins respectively and have the worst records in baseball, you wouldn’t have believe it. The White Sox need to correct their bull pen issues or they are going to go nowhere and the Twins simply need to get healthy.
- The Seattle Mariners were the big winners this week climbing out of the basement seven spots to #23. Carl Crawford finally paid dividends for the Boston Red Sox Sunday beating Seattle with a base hit in the bottom of the 9th, but the Mariners have been hot going 7-3 in their last 10 games. Perhaps all the talk about King Felix and Ichiro going to the Yankees was a bit premature….
- The Florida Marlins continue to be one of the least talked about, best stories in baseball. The Marlins have gotten more press being associated with Hanley Ramirez’ poor start than they have for sticking right with the Philadelphia Phillies. I don’t know about anyone else, but I’m thinking that Josh Johnson is the best pitcher in the game right now and I can’t wait to see a match-up or two between the bionic man and Roy Halladay. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see the Marlins not only win the NL East this year, but win the 2011 World Series. In fact, considering that the Phillies are a 3/1 to win the Series this year, at 25/1, in my opinion you can’t go wrong plunking some dinero down on the Marlins to take it all.
- Along those lines, with the Phillies, Marlins and Atlanta Braves, according to TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings, the NL East has three of the top seven teams in baseball. As it stands now, subject to key injuries taking place, I would expect that these teams will remain profitable plays throughout the spring and summer, particularly when playing outside their division.
|TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 5|
|TEAM||WINS||LOSSES||WIN %||R S||R A||Net Runs|
|1 – Indians||19||8||.704||146||99||+47|
|2.5 – Yankees||16||9||.640||139||102||+37|
|2.5 – Cardinals||16||12||.571||149||112||+37|
|4 – Phillies||18||9||.667||121||90||+31|
|5 – Rangers||16||12||.571||142||121||+21|
|6.5 – Marlins||17||9||.654||118||98||+20|
|6.5 – Braves||14||15||.483||116||96||+20|
|8 – Rockies||17||9||.654||123||104||+19|
|9.5 – Angels||16||12||.571||114||97||+17|
|9.5 – Reds||14||14||.500||147||130||+17|
|11 – Rays||15||13||.536||120||105||+15|
|12.5 – Royals||15||13||.536||145||137||+8|
|12.5 – Brewers||13||14||.481||118||110||+8|
|14 – Blue Jays||13||15||.464||127||123||+4|
|15 – Athletics||14||14||.500||97||96||+1|
|16 – Giants||13||14||.481||99||103||-4|
|17 – Red Sox||12||15||.444||110||115||-5|
|18 – Nationals||13||14||.481||103||110||-7|
|19 – Orioles||13||13||.500||110||119||-9|
|20 – Diamondbacks||12||15||.444||131||142||-11|
|21.5 – Mets||12||16||.429||120||132||-12|
|21.5 – Padres||11||17||.393||84||96||-12|
|23 – Mariners||13||16||.448||111||125||-14|
|24 – Pirates||13||15||.464||99||119||-20|
|25 – Tigers||12||16||.429||117||139||-22|
|26 – Dodgers||14||15||.483||111||136||-25|
|27 – Astros||11||17||.393||122||151||-29|
|28 – Cubs||12||15||.444||109||141||-32|
|29 – White Sox||10||19||.345||113||149||-36|
|30 – Twins||9||18||.333||85||149||-64|
* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.