NFL
NFL

NFL Efficiency Rankings - Week 10

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The team rankings below are in terms of generic win probability.

The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site.

Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule, and all ratings include adjustments for opponent strength.

Offensive rank (ORANK) is offensive generic win probability, which is based on each team's offensive efficiency stats only. In other words, it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense.

DRANK is is a team's generic win probability rank assuming it had a league-average offense.

GWP is based on a logistic regression model applied to current team stats. The model includes offensive and defensive passing and running efficiency, offensive turnover rates, defensive interception rates, and team penalty rates. If you're scratching your head wondering why a team is ranked where it is, just scroll down to the second table to see the stats of all 32 teams.

Click on the table headers to sort.

RANK TEAM LAST WK GWP Opp GWP O RANK D RANK
1 SD 1 0.81 0.42 1 8
2 PIT 3 0.80 0.54 4 2
3 NYG 2 0.79 0.46 2 3
4 TEN 4 0.71 0.57 5 1
5 GB 7 0.70 0.50 6 10
6 PHI 10 0.65 0.49 7 4
7 KC 6 0.61 0.49 20 6
8 IND 5 0.61 0.54 13 12
9 MIA 8 0.61 0.57 19 15
10 BAL 13 0.60 0.52 16 13
11 NYJ 12 0.58 0.50 21 7
12 NO 18 0.56 0.42 14 11
13 HOU 9 0.56 0.60 3 28
14 MIN 15 0.55 0.49 15 17
15 CHI 14 0.51 0.45 27 9
16 NE 11 0.51 0.56 11 25
17 CLE 22 0.51 0.55 17 18
18 WAS 17 0.48 0.51 22 19
19 CIN 20 0.47 0.52 25 20
20 ATL 19 0.45 0.49 10 27
21 DAL 16 0.45 0.58 9 26
22 OAK 21 0.41 0.46 18 14
23 TB 27 0.39 0.44 12 30
24 DEN 23 0.36 0.47 8 31
25 SF 24 0.35 0.44 23 22
26 DET 25 0.35 0.57 24 21
27 BUF 28 0.34 0.55 28 29
28 JAC 26 0.30 0.57 26 32
29 STL 30 0.29 0.39 30 16
30 CAR 29 0.28 0.49 32 5
31 SEA 31 0.22 0.47 29 23
32 ARI 32 0.20 0.46 31 24


Below are each team's efficiency stats.

TEAM OPASS ORUN OINT% OFUM% DPASS DRUN DINT% PENRATE
ARI 4.7 4.3 4.7 1.2 6.6 4.4 3.1 0.42
ATL 6.2 4.2 1.7 0.2 7.0 4.1 4.8 0.37
BAL 6.6 3.6 2.3 0.9 6.0 4.2 3.1 0.38
BUF 5.3 4.3 3.2 1.1 6.6 4.8 0.4 0.32
CAR 4.3 3.6 5.3 2.5 5.5 3.8 4.1 0.39
CHI 5.7 3.9 4.9 0.3 5.5 3.5 3.5 0.35
CIN 6.0 3.7 2.5 1.2 6.3 4.4 3.7 0.36
CLE 6.2 4.2 3.5 1.8 6.7 3.9 3.3 0.40
DAL 6.6 3.6 4.0 0.0 7.0 4.4 2.2 0.52
DEN 7.0 2.9 1.6 1.7 7.1 4.6 2.3 0.52
DET 5.6 3.5 2.6 1.0 6.3 4.7 3.3 0.56
GB 6.8 4.2 3.0 0.5 5.5 4.5 4.4 0.37
HOU 6.5 5.1 2.6 0.2 7.6 4.0 1.7 0.33
IND 6.7 3.7 1.1 0.9 5.9 5.1 2.3 0.36
JAC 5.9 4.2 4.9 1.0 7.9 4.4 3.1 0.37
KC 6.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 5.8 3.8 2.3 0.40
MIA 6.2 3.9 3.9 1.2 6.4 3.8 2.0 0.24
MIN 6.4 4.6 4.9 1.0 6.2 3.8 2.3 0.45
NE 6.3 4.1 1.9 0.0 7.0 4.1 3.1 0.36
NO 6.4 3.8 3.2 0.8 5.2 4.2 2.2 0.42
NYG 7.0 4.7 4.1 1.6 5.0 3.5 3.6 0.43
NYJ 6.0 4.7 2.0 1.7 5.8 3.3 1.8 0.56
OAK 6.0 4.9 3.3 1.3 5.6 4.5 1.9 0.69
PHI 6.3 5.1 1.4 0.7 5.5 3.9 4.5 0.63
PIT 7.0 4.0 3.7 1.1 5.9 2.6 3.6 0.36
SD 8.0 4.0 2.4 1.7 5.4 3.6 2.9 0.41
SF 6.0 3.9 3.6 1.1 6.6 3.6 3.0 0.56
SEA 5.0 3.6 3.5 0.0 6.6 4.0 2.0 0.47
STL 5.1 3.6 2.7 0.2 5.5 4.3 2.7 0.44
TB 6.2 4.1 1.9 0.8 6.6 5.0 5.5 0.40
TEN 6.7 4.2 2.4 1.1 5.6 4.1 4.1 0.55
WAS 6.0 4.1 2.8 1.1 6.1 4.6 2.6 0.38
Avg 6.2 4.1 3.0 0.9 6.2 4.1 3.0 0.43