Eagles
Eagles

Great Decision: Eagles Better with Vick than Kolb

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AccuScore approves of Andy Reid’s decision to stick with Michael Vick as the starting quarterback.  The Eagles’ playoff chances are 8.8% better with Vick starting over Kevin Kolb for the rest of the season.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

Kevin Kolb Starting

8.1

7.9

50.6%

28.9%

40.6%

Michael Vick Starting

8.7

7.3

54.4%

35.6%

49.4%

Vick Value

0.6

-0.6

3.8%

6.7%

8.8%

The NFC East is forecasted to be extremely close regardless of who start at quarterback for Philly. In the overall season projection the switch at quarterback makes the Eagles go from having the third best chance of winning the division to the number one spot.

KOLB STARTING FOR EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

New York Giants

8.4

7.6

52.5%

32.1%

45.2%

Dallas Cowboys

8.2

7.8

51.3%

29.9%

41.3%

Philadelphia Eagles

8.1

7.9

50.6%

28.9%

40.6%

Washington Redskins

6.8

9.2

42.5%

9.1%

17.4%

VICK STARTING FOR EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

Philadelphia Eagles

8.7

7.3

54.4%

35.6%

49.4%

New York Giants

8.4

7.6

52.5%

30.6%

44.1%

Dallas Cowboys

8.1

7.9

50.6%

26.1%

37.9%

Washington Redskins

6.8

9.2

42.5%

7.7%

16.8%

The move was probably easy to make on the field, but that is not always how the NFL works. The move certainly couldn’t have been easy when taking contracts into account as the Eagles signed Kolb to a lucrative two-year extension back in April. Kolb signed for $12.25 million, but $11.4 million of that is guaranteed for THIS season. Vick, on the other hand, has an incentive-laden non-guaranteed contract that will likely increase in cost for Philly now that he is the full-time starter. Of course, the team could be viewing Kolb as a sunk cost already for 2010 and a cheap back-up option for 2011.