NFL
NFL

2010 NFL Fantasy Football: Quarterback Rankings

| by

It's that time of year. I suppose some of you have been running mock drafts for weeks already, but for the rest of us it's just now time to start thinking about our 2010 fantasy roster. The first installment of the Koko rankings is for QBs.

These projections are intended to establish the baseline minimum accuracy as the most reasonably naive predictions. The general explanation of the system along with details of the regression plots can be found in the 2010 QB post.

Rank Player Yds/G TD/G Int/G Sk/G Fum/G RYds/G RTDs/G Pts/G Proj Pts
1 Drew Brees 258 1.7 0.9 1.7 0.3 3 0.1 12.1 164.1
2 Aaron Rodgers 251 1.5 0.8 2.5 0.3 17 0.2 11.6 157.1
3 Peyton Manning 253 1.6 0.9 1.4 0.2 1 0.1 11.3 154.0
4 Brett Favre 243 1.6 0.8 2.0 0.2 2 0.1 10.8 147.4
5 Tom Brady 249 1.5 0.9 1.6 0.2 3 0.1 10.8 146.5
6 Matt Schaub 261 1.5 0.9 1.8 0.2 4 0.1 10.7 145.9
7 Philip Rivers 245 1.5 0.8 1.8 0.2 4 0.1 10.6 143.6
8 Tony Romo 252 1.4 0.8 2.0 0.2 6 0.1 10.3 140.5
9 Ben Roethlisberger 256 1.5 0.9 2.6 0.3 6 0.1 10.1 103.6*
10 Donovan McNabb 239 1.4 0.8 2.2 0.3 9 0.1 9.9 135.3
11 Eli Manning 238 1.5 0.9 1.9 0.3 4 0.1 9.8 132.7
12 Jay Cutler 227 1.5 1.1 2.1 0.3 10 0.1 9.5 129.0
13 Matt Ryan 216 1.4 0.9 1.7 0.2 4 0.1 9.5 129.0
14 Alex Smith 219 1.4 0.9 2.0 0.2 5 0.1 9.3 126.1
15 Carson Palmer 209 1.3 0.9 1.8 0.2 6 0.1 9.1 124.0
16 Kyle Orton 231 1.3 0.9 1.9 0.2 5 0.1 9.0 122.7
17 Jason Campbell 225 1.3 0.9 2.3 0.3 13 0.1 8.8 119.1
18 Vince Young 190 1.1 0.8 1.5 0.3 20 0.1 8.7 118.9
19 David Garrard 224 1.2 0.8 2.3 0.3 17 0.1 8.7 118.5
20 Matthew Stafford 225 1.3 1.2 2.2 0.3 10 0.1 8.7 118.2
21 Joe Flacco 225 1.3 0.9 2.1 0.3 4 0.1 8.6 117.3
22 Matt Hasselbeck 220 1.3 1.0 2.1 0.3 8 0.1 8.2 111.3
23 Chad Henne 215 1.2 0.9 1.9 0.2 3 0.1 7.6 103.7
24 Matt Cassel 209 1.2 0.9 2.3 0.3 11 0.1 7.6 103.7
25 Ryan Fitzpatrick 183 1.2 0.9 2.0 0.2 12 0.1 7.5 102.2
26 Josh Freeman 205 1.2 1.1 2.0 0.3 14 0.1 7.5 101.9
27 Mark Sanchez 193 1.1 1.0 1.9 0.3 7 0.1 7.4 100.2
28 Brady Quinn 179 1.1 0.8 1.9 0.3 9 0.1 7.3 98.7
29 Marc Bulger 194 1 0.8 1.8 0.3 3 0.1 6.6 89.8
30 Jake Delhomme 204 1.1 1.1 2.0 0.3 6 0.1 6.6 89.4