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Poll: Voters Not Confident Obamacare Will Be Repealed

President Donald Trump and the Republican majority in Congress have vowed to get rid of the Affordable Care Act and replace it with a new set of health care laws, but few Americans are confident that after failing to pass legislation so far, the GOP will successfully implement any major changes to the ACA, a new poll found.

According to the CNN/ORC survey, only 20 percent of Americans believe that repealing and replacing the ACA, also known as Obamacare, is very likely -- a 30 percent dip since the same question was asked in mid-January. In Jaunuary, 50 percent said the repeal was very likely. In the survey conducted between April 22 and 25, 42 percent said that the repeal is either not likely at all or not very likely, while 38 percent said it was somewhat likely.

The jury is still out when it comes to the court of public opinion's verdict on whether or not Obamacare should stay or go. The health care plan received split ratings, with 47 percent saying that they approve of the ACA and 48 percent reporting the opposite.

It isn't just Democrats who doubt the efficiency of the party in power's health care ambitions. Only 29 percent of those who tend to vote Republican said that the repeal is very likely, compared to 67 percent who said the same in January. Meanwhile, 10 percent of Democrats and those who lean to the left said that the policy change is very likely, compared to 36 percent in January.

Republican House Speaker Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin said on April 27 that Congress will repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act "when [they] have the votes," according to the Washington Examiner.

The House of Representatives was set to vote on a bill in March, the American Health Care Act, but Ryan pulled the bill off the floor, not having enough numbers to indicate that it would pass.

Due to the GOP's majority in the chamber, they would need 217 of the 238 Republicans to vote in favor of such a bill, assuming that no Democrats would support it. But many GOP members of Congress remain opposed to the idea of eliminating the government health care program, with some saying that casting such a vote would ensure they are not re-elected.

"We absolutely do not have the votes to repeal it," one Republican lawmaker told the Washington Examiner. "The fact that some members are balking at even allowing states to waive out of some of Obamacare regulations is proof positive. We've gone from 'repeal it root-and-branch' to 'Mother-may-I opt out of some of Obamacare' -- and we still are having trouble getting the votes."

Other GOP legislators said it was more likely they would eliminate some portions of the health care law without dismantling it entirely.

Sources: CNN (2), Washington Examiner / Photo credit: U.S. Congress/Wikimedia Commons

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