New polling suggests that not only has the question of who will be the party nominees been answered, but so has the question of who will win the White House in November.
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has become the presumed nominee following the elimination of his two remaining GOP rivals. Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, while still the front-runner for the Democratic nomination, continues to battle it out against Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
Following Trump’s resounding victory in the Indiana primary May 3rd, both Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and Gov. John Kasich of Ohio have exited from the GOP primary. The Republican Committee Chairman Reince Priebus took to social media to confirm what many had already suspected.
“[Donald Trump] will be presumptive @GOP nominee, we all need to unite and focus on defeating @HillaryClinton,” Priebus tweeted out, according to Business Insider.
Despite having all but locked up the Republican nomination, Trump will have to brave a steep climb in order to defeat Clinton, according to the results of a new survey.
Released May 4, a new poll conducted by CNN/ORC found that in a general election scenario, Clinton would defeat Trump by 54 to 31 percent, a 13-point advantage. Lagging behind in double digits this early in 2016 does not bode well for Trump’s presidential prospects.
The survey results found that neither candidate is roundly well-liked by voters. Of those polled, 49 percent view Clinton unfavorably while an equal amount view her favorably.
Meanwhile, 41 percent of respondents rated Trump favorably while 56 percent were unfavorable toward the business mogul.
This may explain why 51 percent of respondents said that, in their view, they were choosing the lesser of two evils with Clinton, while 57 percent of Trump supporters agreed they were backing him to block a Clinton presidency.
To provide some historical context for this current projection of the general election, a poll conducted by CNN and released May 31, 2012, found that incumbent President Barack Obama was polling ahead of former Republican Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts by 49 to 46 percentage points, Real Clear Politics reports.
Despite being so early in the general election season, that polling proved to be fairly accurate. President Obama ultimately defeated Romney by a margin of 51 to 47 percent of the popular vote, a four-point difference.