Filmmaker and activist Michael Moore has predicted that President Donald Trump will win the 2020 election if the Electoral College system remains unchanged.
On Aug. 28, Moore asserted during an interview that Trump would likely win re-election in 2020.
"I should say re-appointed, because we will have an even larger population that will vote against him in 2020," Moore told Fast Company. "But he will win those electoral states as it stands now."
Moore proved to be among the most accurate forecasters of the 2016 presidential race. In July 2016, the filmmaker predicted Trump's election victory during a panel discussion on HBO's "Real Time With Bill Maher."
"I'm sorry to be the buzzkill here," Moore said. "But I think Trump is gonna win. I'm sorry ... It's gonna be the Brexit strategy. The middle of England is Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. The total number of electoral votes in those states in the Rust Belt? 64. All [Trump] has to do is win those four states."
In November 2016, Trump won the election. While former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won nearly 3 million more votes, Trump clinched the presidency by winning the states that Moore had predicted.
In Moore's view, Trump would be able to fend off a 2020 challenger by maintaining his electoral advantage in the Rust Belt. The filmmaker asserted during his latest interview that Democrats could defeat Trump by amending the Electoral College.
"Here's the good news: We don't have to convince a single Trump voter to vote differently because we already have the majority," Moore said.
The filmmaker endorsed the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, a state initiative to award electoral votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the national popular vote. Currently, 10 states and Washington, D.C., have joined the NPVIC. The agreement would be able to swing an election towards a popular vote-winner if a number of states amounting to 270 electoral votes signed on.
Moore also suggested that Democrats try to win back swing voters, third-party voters and young people.
"Eight million Obama voters voted for Trump ... there were 7 1/2 million that voted Green or Libertarian," Moore said. "I think we can convince a few of them to come back. We don't need to convince a whole lot here."
The filmmaker added that there would be a new crop of young voters in 2020 who "don't hate people on the basis of race, or they don't hate somebody because they're in love with somebody of the same gender."
Following Trump's election victory, several prominent Democrats have called for amending or abolishing the Electoral College. In November 2016, former Vice President Al Gore announced he supported changing the U.S. election system to favor the popular vote. Gore narrowly lost the presidential election in 2000, and often credits his loss to the Electoral College system.
"I think moving to a popular vote system is not without peril, is not without problems, it's not a simple one choice is all good, the other is all bad," Gore said, according to NBC News. "It's a balancing act. But I think the balance has shifted, in my mind at least, and I think that we should go to a popular vote."