Poll: Majority Does Not Want Trump To Run In 2020

Poll: Majority Does Not Want Trump To Run In 2020 Promo Image

New polling indicates that a majority of Americans do not want to see President Donald Trump mount a re-election campaign in 2020. Nearly a quarter of Republicans say they want a new standard bearer for their party in the next election.

On Nov. 14, a survey conducted by RABA Research on behalf of the University of Delaware's Center for Political Communication found that 54 percent of national adults were against Trump running for president again. Twenty-three percent of self-identified Republican respondents said they wanted a new GOP nominee in the 2020 election, Newsweek reports.

Lindsay Hoffman, director of the University of Delaware's National Agenda Series, asserted that the polling results showed a lack of enthusiasm for the incumbent president less than one year into his first term.

"Not many polls have historically asked about re-election so early in a President's term, as favorability tends to drop over time," Hoffman said in a statement on Nov. 14.

The center director cited a Gallup survey released in April 2010 that measured the prospects of former President Barack Obama's ultimately-successful re-election. In that poll, 46 percent of registered voters said Obama had merited a second term while 50 percent said he did not. He had already served two years in the White House at the time.

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"For example, a Gallup poll in early 2010 showed 84 percent of Democrats thought Obama deserved re-election, compared with 10 percent of Republicans," Hoffman said. "That we are seeing similar numbers so early in Trump's term is surprising."

On Nov. 15, a Politico/Morning Consult poll found that former Vice President Joe Biden would defeat Trump in a hypothetical matchup in 2020. Thirty-five percent of registered voters would support Trump, while 46 percent preferred Biden -- a margin of 11 percentage points.

The survey also indicated that a generic Democratic nominee would beat Trump by 48 percent to 34 percent, signaling that Biden would not necessarily be the front-runner in a Democratic primary

"Notably, 86 percent of Democrats say they would vote for a generic Democrat over Trump, but only 78 percent of Democrats say they prefer Biden over Trump,” said Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult's chief research officer.

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Biden has given mixed signals about his plans for another presidential bid. On Nov. 13, the former vice president noted during an interview that he had already campaigned for the top job twice before in 1988 and 2008.

"I've done it a long time, and I'm just not sure it's the appropriate thing for me to do," Biden told The Associated Press.

Biden added that he would run for president again if he was not confident in the crop of Democratic contenders, concluding "something's got to happen."

​After aggregating the 11 national surveys released between Oct. 29 and Nov. 14, RealClearPolitics found that Trump had an average approval rating of 38 percent and an average disapproval of 57 percent.

Sources: AP via USA TodayNewsweek, Politico, RealClearPolitics, Gallup / Featured Image: Gage Skidmore/Flickr / Embedded Images: Gage Skidmore/FlickrJay Godwin/LBJ Library/Flickr

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