NCAA Basketball

How Vital is Kyrie Irving to Duke?

| by

Duke is the national consensus number 1 team being undefeated and coming off a championship season.  This year the Blue Devils might have been even better with the additions of Seth Curry and superstar freshman point guard Kyrie Irving.  Irving had been spectacular in the early going even getting hype as a potential top pick in the 2011 NBA draft.  Now his season is in doubt with a foot injury.

GAME
DUKE OPP
w/ Irving
w/o Irving
Impact

1
Saint Louis
98.7%
97.1%
-1.6%

2
Elon
99.4%
99.0%
-0.4%

3
at N.C. Greensboro
100.0%
99.6%
-0.4%

4
Miami (FL)
90.1%
80.2%
-9.9%

5
UAB
93.6%
93.0%
-0.6%

6
Maryland
85.2%
76.9%
-8.3%

7
at Florida St.
60.9%
52.3%
-8.6%

8
Virginia
97.1%
94.1%
-3.0%

9
at N.C. State
93.2%
86.5%
-6.7%

10
at Wake Forest
89.0%
80.8%
-8.2%

11
Boston Coll.
91.9%
89.1%
-2.8%

12
at St. John's
81.0%
70.1%
-10.9%

13
at Maryland
70.2%
58.9%
-11.3%

14
N.C. State
98.2%
97.4%
-0.8%

15
North Carolina
99.6%
98.5%
-1.1%

16
at Miami (FL)
75.6%
67.6%
-8.0%

17
at Virginia
90.9%
82.9%
-8.0%

18
Georgia Tech
97.1%
92.4%
-4.7%

19
Temple
84.8%
78.8%
-6.0%

20
at Virginia Tech
96.3%
92.1%
-4.2%

21
Clemson
97.2%
94.5%
-2.7%

22
at North Carolina
86.4%
80.4%
-6.0%

 

AVGERAGE

89.8%
84.6%
-5.2%

Per game the loss of Irving is worth -5.2 percent. With Irving, Duke was projected to have a 8.1 percent chance of going undefeated.  Now the Dukies have less than a two percent chance and are projected for 1.2 fewer wins if Irving is unable to play again this season.