The Saturday Edge capping team ended the week 16-16 (15-16 on posted plays and 1-0 on the newsletter exclusive pick). However, considering we had 4 cappers on the Florida – Florida State total, that loss was brutal to the overall record, but if we just count each game as 1 winner or 1 loser (no doubles, triples, etc), this week I believe we would have been 14-10 overall. Something to consider for next season’s record keeping process.
Below are some of the games that we are considering betting on this week and a few reasons why we like a particular side or total. Please feel free to join in the discussion and offer your feedback, we would definitely like to hear about how you are viewing a particular side or total. Last week we had some really good debates going on several games. This type of back and forth can be very helpful to keep perspective moving into the weekend, so please share your thoughts.
UCLA +9 at Stanford
I jumped all over the Bruins when this game opened at 10.5 yesterday. Talk about conference familiarity. These two teams will be matching up against each other for the 2nd time in 6 days. This game opened as a pick last week and closed at Stanford -3, now the Cardinal open as a DD favorite by virtue of beating a UCLA team that didn’t really have a lot to play for last week, but now have the Rose Bowl on the line. I think we’ll see a much better effort out of the Bruins this week and I expect this game to be a lot closer than last week’s game.
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I got this one at +7.5. Horn Frogs are playing much better football as of late and are coming off a Thursday night win over Texas. A game in which they pretty much dominated. OU is coming off a hard fought OT win over the Pokes, and despite the Sooners needing a win to have a chance at a BCS bowl, it is still tough to get up for back to back tough games. I would expect this game to also be very close.
NIU is the class o the MAC and at least based on my numbers are a TD better than Kent State. Looking at some of the intangibles NIU is just the better team.
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Boise is just not that good this season. Nevada was a 7 point favorite vs SDSU in Reno, a 3 point dog to Fresno State in Reno and now they’re getting almost DD to what is more or less the same caliber team as the Aztecs and the Bulldogs? That’s too many points.
Somewhat similar to the UCLA – Stanford rematch where you have two teams playing each other for the second time this season. These two teams played in Tulsa a few weeks ago and Tulsa won 23-21. However, they statistically dominated that game, out gaining UCF by 226 yards (+143 rushing yards). UCF was held to a season low 235 yards of total offense, but they scored 1 TD off a pick six and another off a short field. So by virtue of winning the turnover battle 2-0, UCF was able to keep the score close. My one concern, and a reason I really like UCLA this week, is beating a good football team twice in the same season just seems tough (ask LSU).