It was another winning week for TSE cappers as we went 19-15 on posted plays and 2-0 on our newsletter exclusive picks.
Below are some of the games that we are considering betting on this week and a few reasons why we like a particular side or total. Please feel free to join in the discussion and offer your feedback, we would definitely like to hear about how you are viewing a particular side or total.
Temple – Pitt U 48
Both teams averaging a little over 20 ppg. Temple has scored 13 & 17 points in their two road games and both games went under (43 & 41). Pitt D is allowing about 377 ypg and 22.60 ppg, but that is against some pretty good offenses (teams that avg 400 ypg & nearly 26 ppg).
Iowa – Northwestern U 49.5
Iowa’s offense isn’t very good, but they have a solid D (allowing 20.83 ppg to teams that avg 24.86 ppg). Neither team really has any playmakers on offense, Iowa averages 4.93 yards per play (11th in the B1G) & Northwestern is 6th at 5.19 ypp. Defensively Northwestern is allowing 25.29 ppg to teams that average 25.82 ppg, whereas Iowa is averaging 19.83 ppg on offense against teams that allow 23.25 ppg.
Because it worked so well last week? Auburn continues to play hard. They were in a position to beat Vandy last week but turned the ball over on downs in Vandy territory on their final possession. Johnny Football has some amazing stats, but the majority of them were accumulated against non-SEC schools and an Arkansas team that was discombobulated at the time. Against the other 3 SEC D’s A & M has faced, they are averaging 22 ppg and allowing 23.67 ppg. I am certainly not suggesting that Auburn’s D is anywhere near as good as Florida and LSU’s, but it is probably in the range of Mississippi’s, and Ole Miss held A & M to 23 defensive points.
Mississippi State – Alabama U 48
This will be the best defense that either team has seen all season long.
I locked in this number earlier today. The Cat offense has put up a ton of yards and points against better defenses than what USC brings to Tucson on Saturday.
Notre Dame – Oklahoma U 48.5
Two of the better defenses in college football and one team struggles to score on offense. Hopefully the Sooners don’t put up too many points.
Nebraska D struggled to stop Northwestern last week (of course the turnovers and short fields didn’t help either) and they typically struggle against dual threat QBs. Now they face one of the best dual threat QBs in college football (well I don’t know how much of a dual threat Robinson is considering his passing deficiencies). Except for that Alabama game, the Michigan D has been solid. Revenge spot for Nebraska ….. whatever!