Below are some of the games that we are considering betting on this week and a few reasons why we like a particular side or total. Please feel free to join in the discussion and offer your feedback, we would definitely like to hear about how you are viewing a particular side or total.
Michigan State +1
Best defense in the Big 10 getting points at home. I’ll take a shot. Michigan State was in a bad spot last year when they went to Lincoln having played Ohio State, Michigan and Wisky. Now they get the Cornhuskers and the mediocre Blackshirts (are they even allowed to be called that anymore?) at home after a confidence building upset of Wisky in Madison. Nebraska got lucky last week and played Michigan for most of the game without having to face Denard Robinson.
Georgia Tech – Maryland U 49
Freaking game opened at 51 and when I went to hit submit the line had already changed on me. Maryland has the much better defense and the Yellow Jacket triple-option is struggling. Mary will be starting a scholarship LB at QB who last played the position in HS. Lots of running in this one.
Still kicking myself for not having grabbed this one at +2 a few months ago when those LVH future lines came out. Just tough to see how USC’s depleted DL can slow down the Oregon offensive Death Star. Duck D is also a lot better than most people think. And with Kansas State and Notre Dame passing the Ducks in the BCS, maybe Chip doesn’t take his foot off the pedal. Marqies Lee will probably still have 300 yards receiving.
Call me crazy, but this is still an elite defense, at home, at night against a team they are very familiar with. Plus I think this line settles back down around 8 or 9 and I can buy out if it if I want.
Mississippi State +7
Spoke with Trentmoney about this one this morning. He has some good comments below.
Stanford – Colorado U 53
It’ll take two teams to cover this number and unless the Cardinal set them up with a short field, the Buffs might not score. The Stanford offense has struggled all year, only scoring 24 last week at home against WSU.
Pitt – Notre Dame U 46
This Notre Dame defense is good. Pitt’s D is fairly solid, but inconsistent. Irish played their best game of the season last week on offense, but putting back-to-back good offensive performances together could be tough, especially after a physical, hard fought win in Norman.
Washington St – Utah U 49
Utah scored 49 points last week, their biggest output of the season. But 21 of those points came off turnovers and special teams. Against the better defenses on their schedule, WSU has scored 6, 26 (Oregon took foot off pedal in 2nd half as usual), 6, 17 & 17. Toss out the Oregon game and WSU is only allowing 27 ppg in PAC 12 play.