The Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder are still battling it out for this year’s championship, but that isn’t stopping odds makers from looking into their crystal balls and seeing what the future holds.
Even though the 2012 season hasn’t officially wrapped yet, a number of gambling sites are gazing ahead and offering odds on next year’s title. Predictably, the lines offered have caused something of a stir, mostly because they seem to be based moreso on reputation than actual, legitimate analysis of the league as presently constructed.
Here are the odds (via Los Angeles Times):
2013 NBA championship odds
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--Miami Heat 5-2
--Oklahoma City Thunder 5-2
--Chicago Bulls 5-1
--San Antonio Spurs 7-1
--Dallas Mavericks 15-1
--Indiana Pacers 20-1
--Boston Celtics 20-1
A number of things jump out right off the bat. Seeing as we don’t even know if Derrick Rose will play next year, how can the Bulls possibly have the third best odds to win a title? What did the Lakers or Mavericks show this season that gives the impression that they could contend next year? How can the Celtics be on this list when there is a very good chance that the team will be at least partially blown up this summer? And, along the same lines, because of what will likely happen this summer, how can the Celtics possibly have better odds than the Clippers?
Early lines are always fun, but only when they’re based on a reasonable analysis of the league. This is just numbers hastily thrown together with no real thought put behind them.
(Kudos L.A. Times)