May 20 will mark the four-month anniversary of President Donald Trump assuming office. Despite the fact that the Trump has not been president for even half a year, his presidency has already been marked as one of the most controversial in history. In fact, talk of impeachment has surrounded the president for some time, beginning before he even assumed office. In spite of this, however, it is extremely unlikely that Trump will be ousted from his office before the end of his four-year term.
While many of Trump's actions throughout the beginning of his presidency have inspired talk of impeachment, the conversation regarding the subject began again when new information came to light regarding Trump's interactions with former FBI Director James Comey. On May 16, The New York Times reported that a memo revealed that Trump had asked Comey to shut down an investigation of former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn.
Time reports that following this revelation, Democratic Rep. Al Green of Texas called for Trump's impeachment on the House floor May 17. Talk of impeachment also came from within Trump's own Republican party. According to The Hill, Republican Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan reportedly believes that Trump's request of Comey is indeed grounds for impeachment.
With all of this talk of impeachment, it may seem like Trump's dismissal from office is inevitable. However, it is unlikely that Trump will be impeached and even more unlikely that he will be dismissed from office entirely.
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First of all, according to Market Watch, impeachment is an extremely rare event. Only two presidents have ever been impeached. The first was Andrew Johnson in 1968. It would over 100 years before another president -- Bill Clinton in 1998 -- was impeached. Neither one was ultimately removed from office.
In addition, the process of removing a president from office entirely is a long one. First, the House of Representative has to authorize proceedings and grounds for impeachment must be found. A majority of the representatives must then vote for the president to be impeached. Following this process, the Senate must conduct a trial, over which the chief justice of the Supreme Court presides. Two-thirds of the Senate votes are required to convict the president in order for him to be removed from office entirely.
If the House and Senate were controlled by Democrats, talk of impeachment and dismissal might hold more ground. However, at the moment, both branches of Congress are currently controlled by Republicans. According to Market Watch, it is unlikely that Republicans will pursue a removal of Trump because of damage it could do to their own party.
While talk of impeachment may continue to circulate, it should be clear to everyone that that is all it is: talk. Even if Trump did get impeached, it is extremely unlikely that Republican senators will allow him to be dismissed from office entirely. With this in mind, everyone in this country should accept that Trump is going to be around for at least the next three years and eight months.