Poll: Trump Up Five Points Over Clinton Nationally

| by Robert Fowler
Presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate Hillary ClintonPresumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton

New polling places presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump ahead of Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in a general election matchup.

On May 19, Rasmussen Reports released the latest installment of its White House Watch survey. It found that 42 percent of polled respondents would sooner vote for Trump while 37 percent sided with Clinton.

20 percent of respondents chose neither option, with 13 percent citing that they preferred another candidate. Another 7 percent were undecided.

The business mogul’s lead over Clinton is a recent development; previous election tracking polls had the former Secretary of State leading a potential general election scenario, according to Real Clear Politics. Trump has climbed four percentage points in just two weeks.

This rising in the polls comes at the end of the Republican primary, with Trump’s GOP competitors exiting the race and leaving him to consolidate his party’s support.

Meanwhile, Clinton is still engaged in a primary battle against Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. The Rasmussen Reports poll noted this when reviewing that likely voters under age 40 favor Clinton while older voters are more likely to support Trump.

“Young voters traditionally have been a key part of the Democratic base, but right now one-third of those voters like some other candidate or are undecided,” the survey stated. “Many of these voters are likely to be Sanders supporters which highlights how important it will be for Clinton to quickly heal her party after she wins the nomination.”

That may prove difficult for the former Secretary of State. Sanders’ aides have told The New York Times that the senator “is willing to do some harm to Mrs. Clinton in the shorter term if it means he can capture a majority of the 475 pledged delegates at stake in California.”

The California Democratic primary will not be held until June 7.

The Rasmussen Report poll found that there is a gender split among respondents. While Clinton has an 11 percentage-point edge among women voters, Trump leads her by 22 points among men.

On May 18, 2008, Rasmussen Reports’ White House Watch Survey found Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona leading Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois by 45 to 44 percent, according to Real Clear Politics archives.

Sources: The New York Times, Rasmussen Reports, Real Clear Politics (2) / Photo credit: Gage Skidmore/Wikimedia Commons

Are general election polls predictive this early?
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