Politics

Trump Might Struggle To Win Majority Of Delegates

| by Ray Brown
Republican Presidential Candidate Donald TrumpRepublican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is the clear front-runner, but the GOP efforts to unseat him seem to be coming to fruition as the path to a majority of delegates has become trickier.

Trump's approval ratings have taken a nosedive as a result of several issues, including the arrest of his campaign manager Corey Lewandowski for assaulting a female reporter, and Trump's own remarks about abortion. And although Trump has a commanding delegate lead, the negative press could affect his performances in the upcoming primary states.

Trump needs 1,237 delegates to win the clinch the nomination. He currently has 736 and needs to win 56 percent of the remaining delegates to reach that number, according to The Hill. That might be difficult to accomplish as Trump's momentum has slowed down, at least in the polls, and GOP establishment figures back Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

Cruz is Trump's only challenger when it comes to delegate numbers as Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is mathematically eliminated from the possibility of winning the majority of delegates. But even Cruz, who has 463 delegates, would need 86 percent of the remaining delegates to win the majority. That's unlikely to happen, especially with Kasich remaining in the race and likely taking votes away from the less controversial Cruz.

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Cruz also has a commanding 10-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin, the next state to hold its primary on April 5. A big win there for Cruz would further damage Trump's hope of securing a majority delegate count and avoiding a brokered convention where he will face stuff competition from the GOP establishment.

As a result of the likelihood of a brokered convention, the odds are currently near 70 percent, according to ZeroHedge.com.

Trump still has gigantic leads in delegate-rich states like New York.

In New York, which is worth 95 delegates and holds its primary on April 19, Trump beats Cruz by 36 percent, according to a CNN poll.

Photo credit: Michael Vadon/Wikipedia

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