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Poll: Trump Approval Rating Hits New Low

| by Robert Fowler

President Donald Trump has netted his lowest approval rating yet from a polling group that previously generated the most flattering results for his first six months in office.

On July 31, a Rasmussen Reports survey found that only 39 percent of likely voters approved of Trump's job performance, while 61 percent disapproved. These results marked the first time the polling group recorded a Trump approval rating below 40 percent, The Hill reports.

Throughout Trump's young presidency, Rasmussen has indicated stronger approval for his job performance compared to other pollsters. On June 18, Trump took to social media to tout Rasmussen Reports' data.

"The new Rasmussen poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating," Trump tweeted out.

On January 23, Rasmussen found that 55 percent of likely voters approved of Trump's job performance, while only 44 percent disapproved. The latest survey indicated that Trump's approval has dipped by 26 percentage points after his first six months in office.

FiveThirtyEight, the polling website spearheaded by statistician Nate Silver, has kept a scorecard analyzing other polling group's bias and reliability. Their scorecard estimated that Rasmussen had a mean-reverted bias that skewed conservative by two percentage points. Factoring in Rasmussen's simple average error and races called correctly, the scorecard gave the polling group a C+ for reliability.

On July 31, another Rasmussen Reports poll indicated that the majority of likely voters were not enthusiastic about one of Trump's key policies. The survey found only 37 percent of respondents wanted Trump's proposed wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, while 56 percent were against the project.

On July 30, the Gallup daily tracking poll found that only 37 percent of national adults approved of Trump's job performance, while 59 percent disapproved. Similarly to Rasmussen, the latest findings signaled a sapping of goodwill towards the president since his inauguration. On Jan. 22, Gallup found that Trump had a neutral rating with 45 percent of respondents approving of him and 45 percent disapproving.

RealClearPolitics, after aggregating the last nine national surveys released between July 12 and July 30, found that Trump had an average approval rating of 39 percent and an average disapproval rating of 56 percent.

The averages indicated that Rasmussen, a polling group that had yielded more flattering results for the president, has now mined data that matches the findings of its peers.

Is Trump's support sagging half a year into his presidency?
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