Post-Debate Poll: Clinton Gains In Key Swing States

| by Robert Fowler
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonDemocratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton

New polling indicates that Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton received a sizeable bump in key battleground states after the first presidential debate. The majority of likely voters in all five swing states said that Clinton won in her first face-off with Republican nominee Donald Trump.

On Sept. 29, new Public Policy Polling survey results found that Clinton is leading in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Virginia. The surveys were conducted on behalf on the nonpartisan VoteVets Action Fund.

In Colorado, Clinton currently leads with 46 percent support while Trump comes in second with 40 percent support. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson garnered 6 percent support while Green Party nominee Jill Stein came in last with 2 percent support.

In Florida, Clinton leads with 45 percent support while Trump is close behind with 43 percent. Johnson made a more modest showing in the state with 3 percent while Stein only managed 1 percent.

In North Carolina, perhaps the most competitive swing state in the 2016 election, Clinton now polls at 44 percent while Trump is behind with 42 percent. Johnson comes in third with 7 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton has 45 percent, Trump 39 percent, Johnson 6 percent and Stein 2 percent.

In Virginia, the results are similar to Colorado: Clinton leads with 46 percent, Trump well behind with 40 percent, Johnson coming in third with 7 percent and Stein in last place with 1 percent.

When asked which major nominee won the first presidential debate, the majority of likely voters in all five states gave the edge to Clinton. Colorado voters preferred her performance by 22 percentage points, Florida voters by 17 percentage points, North Carolina voters by 22 percentage points, Pennsylvania voters by 19 percentage points and Virginia voters by 24 percentage points.

Following the debate on Sept. 26, the majority of voters in all swing states did not believe that Trump was prepared to be president, had the temperament for the job or can be trusted with nuclear weapons.

In comparison, Clinton passed all three of those metrics among these voters, if by a fairly narrow margin. The only metric where Trump won among the majority of these swing states voters was when they were asked which candidate was most likely to cause a nuclear war.

Meanwhile, another poll has found that the first presidential debate damaged women voters’ perception of Trump.

On Sept. 29, a new NBC News/SurveyMonkey Poll found that 27 percent of likely women voters were less likely to cast their ballot for the GOP nominee after watching him on the debate stage. Meanwhile, 30 percent of likely women voters said that their opinion of Clinton had improved.

The majority of scientific polls conducted after the presidential debate have found that most voters believe Clinton won. Trump himself has been dismissive of these polls, citing that he had won several online polls taken after the debate.

Several anchors from Fox News agreed with Trump, pointing to the online polls as evidence he had indeed won his first face-off with Clinton. Dana Blanton, Fox News’ vice president of public opinion research, responded by forwarding them a memo urging them to disregard the online polls, Fortune reports.

Blanton stated that the online polls that Trump has cited “do not meet our editorial standards.”

The latest PPP survey indicates that Clinton has received a large bump following the first debate. Tom Jensen, the director of PPP, noted that Trump will have to regain ground if he hopes to win in November.

“If these results hold up, Donald Trump has no path to victory,” Jensen wrote.

Sources: NBC News, FortunePublic Policy Polling / Photo credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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