Poll Finds Clinton, Trump Tied Among Likely Voters

| by Kathryn Schroeder
Donald Trump and Hillary ClintonDonald Trump and Hillary Clinton

A new poll found presidential nominees Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are tied nationally among likely voters.

The CBS News/New York Times poll conducted Sept. 9-13 found that 46 percent of likely voters are supporting Democratic nominee Clinton, and 44 percent are selecting Republican nominee Trump for president. Among registered voters, Clinton has a 5-point lead over Trump, 46 percent to 41 percent. These results are based on a two-candidate ballot.

When third-party candidates Gary Johnson, a Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party are considered, Clinton and Trump are tied at 42 percent with likely voters. More voters move away from Clinton than from Trump when the third-party candidates are ballot options.

Clinton does lead Trump with registered voters in a four-candidate race by 2 percentage points, 41 percent to 39 percent. Johnson received 11 percent of votes and Stein 5 percent.

In a recent Rasmussen Reports national poll, Trump was found to have a 2-point lead over Clinton with likely voters, 42 percent to 40 percent. Johnson received 7 percent of voters' support and Stein 2 percent.

Whether voters may change their minds before the November election seems unlikely based on the CBS News/New York Times poll findings. Of Trump supporters, 92 percent said their decision is final, while 94 percent of Clinton voters said the same.

In terms of demographics, Clinton has more support from women (52 percent) than Trump (39 percent). But Trump is stronger with men, 50 percent to 39 percent.

Trump is also more popular with white voters; 51 percent choose him as their candidate, while 40 percent want Clinton to be president.

The results are startling among black voters, of which 89 percent choose Clinton and only 6 percent Trump. 

When all major national polls are averaged out by Real Clear Politics, Clinton leads Trump by less than 2 percentage points.

Sources: CBS News, Rasmussen Reports, Real Clear Politics / Photo credit: Rich Girard/Flickr

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