Clinton Up Big On Trump In Virginia

| by Ray Brown
Republican nominee Donald TrumpRepublican nominee Donald Trump

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has a 16-point lead over her Republican rival, Donald Trump, according to a Roanoke College poll.

Clinton's 48 percent to 32 percent lead over Trump is in a four-way match-up that includes Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, who has 8 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, who has 3 percent. But Clinton's edge over Trump increases to 19 percent when the choice is just between the two major party candidates.

It's not clear how much of an impact Clinton's decision to choose Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia as her running mate had on her rise in the Virginia polls. Kaine's popularity in Virginia stands at a fair 52 percent approval rating. But that is significantly higher than the 32 percent rating he received in January when Roanoke College last asked that poll question.

Clinton has better numbers than Trump in important categories like popularity among registered party members and independents and moderates.

According to the Roanoke College poll, 91 percent of Democrats support Clinton, while 80 percent of Republicans support Trump. But Clinton's true edge could be among the non-affiliated. The poll found that Clinton beats Trump among independents 43 percent to 25 percent. Among moderates, she has a greater lead: 57 percent to 22 percent.

Losing Virginia would obviously be detrimental to Trump's chances for victory in November, but the latest polls show he has more than just Virginia to worry about. According to The Washington Post, Clinton has leads in all seven traditional “swing” states, including Florida, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Ohio, Colorado and Nevada, as well as Virginia.

But a Monmouth University poll found Trump has only a 1-point lead in Missouri, a Republican stronghold for several elections.

Neither candidate is highly popular in Missouri, with 53 percent having an unfavorable view of Trump and 56 percent having an unfavorable view of Clinton. 

Sources: Roanoke College, The Washington Post, Monmouth University / Photo credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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