Politics

Reuters Gives Clinton 90 Percent Odds Of Winning

| by Oren Peleg

Reuters is predicting a victory for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. The agency gives Clinton a 90 percent chance of winning the election.

According to Reuters, “any upset by Trump on [Nov. 8] depends on an unlikely combination of turnouts of white, black and Hispanic voters in six or seven states.” The results are based on the final Reuters/Ipsos poll before Election Day, released Nov. 7.

To win the election, a candidate must pass a 270-vote threshold in the Electoral College. Reuters projects Clinton to win 303 votes, with Republican nominee Donald Trump picking up 235.

A road to victory for Trump relies on the swing states of Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. All five states were either too close to call on Nov. 6 or leaning Clinton.

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“Clinton would seem to be playing offense in [Florida and North Carolina], in the sense that winning either one would make it very hard for Trump to come back — that’s especially the case for Florida, with its 29 electoral votes, which could cover for her losing two key states elsewhere on the map,” Nate Silver wrote for FiveThirtyEight. “But there’s a higher chance than you might think that they prove to be a necessity rather than a luxury for Clinton, in case something goes wrong for Clinton in the Midwest.”

But, speaking with reporters on Nov. 7, Clinton seemed to have foregone her narrow lead and predicted her own victory.

"I think I have some work to do to bring the country together," Clinton said, reports The Hill. "I really do want to be the president for everybody. … Because I think that these splits, these divides that have been not only exposed but exacerbated by the campaign on the other side are ones that we really do have to bring the country together." 

Sources: Reuters, FiveThirtyEight, The Hill / Photo credit: Hillary Clinton/Instagram

Can Clinton bring the divided electorate together as president?
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