On Sept. 22, Washington D.C.-based professor Allan Lichtman predicted that then-presidential nominee Donald Trump would win the presidency, and now he believes President-elect Trump will be impeached by his own party (video below).
For the election, Lichtman used a system based on history that he calls "keys," which are 13 true or false questions, but he told The Washington Post in November that his impeachment prediction is different:
I'm going to make another prediction. This one is not based on a system; it's just my gut. If Donald Trump wins, I predict the Republicans in Congress will impeach him. They don't want Trump as president, because they can't control him. He's unpredictable.
They'd love to have Pence -- an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I'm quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security because it helps his pocketbook.
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By the way, he still hasn't disclosed any of those foreign loans and foreign business ties that could endanger American national security. So stay tuned. If Trump wins, watch out for that impeachment.
Lichtman told the newspaper via email on Nov. 11 how the polls missed Trump's win:
Polls are not predictors. They are snapshots that simulate an election. They are abused and misused as predictors. Even the analysis of polls by Nate Silver and others which claimed a probable Clinton victory with from more than 70 percent to 99 percent certainty are mere compilations that are no better than the underlying polls. For all his acclaim, Nate Silver is only a clerk, not a scientific analyst.
While Trump did win the Electoral College, Clinton will win a substantial popular vote, more than two million, which is a larger spread than Al Gore's popular vote in 2000, President Richard Nixon's win in 1968 and President John F. Kennedy's victory in 1960, The New York Times repoerted on Nov. 11.
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"The Democrats cannot rebuild by pointing fingers at Hillary Clinton and her campaign, which as the Keys demonstrated, were not the root cause of her defeat," Lichtman told The Washington Post. "The Democrats can rehabilitate themselves only by offering an inspiring progressive alternative to Republican policies and building a grass-roots movement."
West Virginians who are normally democratic voted for Trump for several reasons, The New Yorker reports. Those reasons include: people outside of West Virginia did not like Trump, President Barack Obama’s coal regulations that reduce pollution (Clinton would have extended them), the belief that "everybody seems to be getting a handout without having to work" and the notion that jobs are going to suddenly return to West Virginia.
One West Virginia voter said he opposes Muslim immigrants who don't meet his standard of assimilation, supports a better health care system than Obamacare and wants less reproductive rights for women.