The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton facing “negative favorability ratings” in the key states of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. Her statistics on issues like honesty and leadership have fallen, and she's facing strong competition from three leading Republican candidates. “Against three Republicans, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Secretary Clinton trails in six matchups and is on the down side of too-close-to call in three,” Quinnipiac University Poll assistant director Peter A. Brown said in a statement.
The poll suggests that Clinton's popularity is faltering due to voter trust issues, but it's just as difficult to trust the polls this early in the race. The media may report that Clinton has 58 percent of the overall vote in the Democratic primary, but those numbers could change in the months leading up to the Iowa Caucus. Most eligible voters will never even respond to any surveys or questionnaires. The polls conducted in Colorado, Iowa and Virginia make assumptions about candidates that could possibly be on the ballot next November, but it's difficult to gauge whether any of the names use will even be up for election.
The main takeaway from the poll is that if Clinton does easily secure the nomination, she may have a tough time in the national election. In a theoretical matchup against expected GOP nominee Jeb Bush, 41 percent of voters in Colorado chose Bush and 36 percent chose Clinton. The responses were similar in Iowa and Virginia, with Bush leading by six and three points, respectively. The poll also found that Clinton would lose to both Walker and Rubio in those states.
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If Clinton doesn't end up winning the nomination, the Democratic Party may still face a difficult battle in the three key states. The results of the poll also showed that Biden and Sanders would both lose to Bush, Walker or Rubio in each state. All three states have a history of supporting different parties from election to election, but this poll indicates that they'll be shaded red on the 2016 electoral map. That's bad news for Clinton as well as Democratic voters around the country. Losing those three states could damage the Democrats chances of maintaining control of the White House, and Clinton is still the expected nominee despite her falling favorability numbers.
According to Newsmax, the 2016 election could come down to just seven swing states. Colorado, Iowa and Virginia are all on that list, along with Florida, Nevada, Ohio and New Hampshire. Iowa will be the site of the first major presidential caucus in 2016, so it will be interesting to see how the polls change in the months leading up to that event.
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