Politics

New Poll Shows Ben Carson In Statistical Dead Heat With Donald Trump

| by Jared Keever
Ben Carson with micBen Carson with mic

A new poll shows presidential contender Ben Carson has pulled nearly even with frontrunner Donald Trump in the crowded Republican candidate pool. 

The Fox News survey of Republicans who plan to vote in the primaries shows Carson polling at 23 percent support with Trump polling at 24 percent, The New York Times reports.  

The margin of error for the poll, released by Fox News on Oct. 13, is 5 percentage points, meaning that the retired neurosurgeon and the billionaire real estate mogul are in a statistical tie.

Poll results indicate Trump has dropped 2 percentage points — from 26 — since the last poll in September,  and Carson has picked up 5 points. 

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That is evidence of a strong surge, according to a recent Fox News story that says Carson has nearly doubled his numbers in the last six months. 

The poll also tested hypothetical general election match-ups and showed Carson as the only candidate likely to garner 50 percent of the vote when matched up against Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton. In that match up, 39 percent of respondents said they would vote for Clinton. 

By contrast, Trump only shows support of 45 percent of respondents when matched against Clinton, who polled at 40 percent in the hypothetical race. 

In the head-to-head match-ups against Clinton, both Republican and Democratic registered voters were polled.

It’s unclear how Carson’s apparent surge might play out on the campaign trail. Trump and Carson have been largely kind to one another so far and seem to share similar views on many policies, but Trump has shown a history of attacking candidates who were gaining on him, according to the Times.

Poll numbers were taken from 1,004 landline and cell phone interviews, conducted from Oct. 10-12. The margin of error is plus or minus 5 percentage points when it comes to the Republican primary voters, and plus or minus 3 percentage points for all registered voters.

Sources: The New York Times, Fox News (2-poll)

Photo credit: Marc Nozell/Flickr, John Pemble/Flickr